ARDL long-run coefficients and Bayesian regression
| Dependent Variable: Nifty variables | Coefficient | Standard error | t-statistics | p-value | Posterior mean | 95% Cred. Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WACR | −0.264728 | 0.069402 | −3.814402** | 0.0002 | −0.15 | [–0.21, −0.09] |
| WPI | 1.021915 | 0.415398 | 2.460085** | 0.0151 | 2.36 | [2.09, 2.63] |
| M3 | 0.808269 | 0.196829 | 4.106449** | 0.0001 | 0.53 | [0.43, 0.61] |
| EXE | −0.467825 | 0.232248 | −2.014338** | 0.0458 | −1.10 | [–1.26, −0.92] |
| DUMMY1 | −0.105015 | 0.061272 | −1.713908 | 0.0887 | −0.27 | [0.23, 0.30] |
| DUMMY2 | 0.074519 | 0.070489 | 1.057174 | 0.2922 | 0.27 | [–0.32, −0.22] |
| DUMMY3 | −0.148698 | 0.053356 | −2.786909** | 0.0060 | −0.12 | [–0.18, −0.74] |
| C | −6.423822 | 1.610180 | −3.989506** | 0.0001 | −5.94 | [–6.05, −5.81] |
| Dependent | Coefficient | Standard error | Posterior mean | 95% Cred. Interval | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WACR | −0.264728 | 0.069402 | −3.814402** | 0.0002 | −0.15 | [–0.21, −0.09] |
| WPI | 1.021915 | 0.415398 | 2.460085** | 0.0151 | 2.36 | [2.09, 2.63] |
| M3 | 0.808269 | 0.196829 | 4.106449** | 0.0001 | 0.53 | [0.43, 0.61] |
| EXE | −0.467825 | 0.232248 | −2.014338** | 0.0458 | −1.10 | [–1.26, −0.92] |
| DUMMY1 | −0.105015 | 0.061272 | −1.713908 | 0.0887 | −0.27 | [0.23, 0.30] |
| DUMMY2 | 0.074519 | 0.070489 | 1.057174 | 0.2922 | 0.27 | [–0.32, −0.22] |
| DUMMY3 | −0.148698 | 0.053356 | −2.786909** | 0.0060 | −0.12 | [–0.18, −0.74] |
| C | −6.423822 | 1.610180 | −3.989506** | 0.0001 | −5.94 | [–6.05, −5.81] |
Source(s): Author