Moderating role of volatility
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volatility_ERIndex | Volatility_StockIndex | |||
| Variables | Favor_Last | Favor_Last | Favor_Last | Favor_Last |
| D.Inflation | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| (0.134) | (0.136) | (0.138) | (0.131) | |
| MPG | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| (0.021) | (0.021) | (0.025) | (0.023) | |
| RSG | 0.01 | 0.01 | −0.00 | 0.00 |
| (0.013) | (0.013) | (0.014) | (0.013) | |
| TradeBalance | −0.13 | −0.13 | −0.09 | −0.10 |
| (0.131) | (0.129) | (0.143) | (0.131) | |
| ERIndex | 0.13*** | 0.13*** | 0.11*** | 0.10*** |
| (0.020) | (0.019) | (0.019) | (0.019) | |
| Stance | 0.41** | 0.41** | 0.39* | 0.30 |
| (0.183) | (0.187) | (0.200) | (0.203) | |
| Volatility | −0.31*** | −0.26** | 0.01 | −0.01 |
| (0.116) | (0.130) | (0.012) | (0.011) | |
| Stance* Volatility | 0.12 | −0.04*** | ||
| (0.176) | (0.015) | |||
| Constant | −18.11*** | −17.34*** | −14.98*** | −13.87*** |
| (2.808) | (2.645) | (2.626) | (2.605) | |
| Observations | 115 | 115 | 115 | 115 |
| R-squared | 0.441 | 0.444 | 0.406 | 0.464 |
| Month FE | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volatility_ERIndex | Volatility_StockIndex | |||
| Variables | Favor_Last | Favor_Last | Favor_Last | Favor_Last |
| 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.15 | 0.13 | |
| (0.134) | (0.136) | (0.138) | (0.131) | |
| 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| (0.021) | (0.021) | (0.025) | (0.023) | |
| 0.01 | 0.01 | −0.00 | 0.00 | |
| (0.013) | (0.013) | (0.014) | (0.013) | |
| −0.13 | −0.13 | −0.09 | −0.10 | |
| (0.131) | (0.129) | (0.143) | (0.131) | |
| 0.13*** | 0.13*** | 0.11*** | 0.10*** | |
| (0.020) | (0.019) | (0.019) | (0.019) | |
| 0.41** | 0.41** | 0.39* | 0.30 | |
| (0.183) | (0.187) | (0.200) | (0.203) | |
| −0.31*** | −0.26** | 0.01 | −0.01 | |
| (0.116) | (0.130) | (0.012) | (0.011) | |
| 0.12 | −0.04*** | |||
| (0.176) | (0.015) | |||
| Constant | −18.11*** | −17.34*** | −14.98*** | −13.87*** |
| (2.808) | (2.645) | (2.626) | (2.605) | |
| Observations | 115 | 115 | 115 | 115 |
| 0.441 | 0.444 | 0.406 | 0.464 | |
| Month FE | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Note(s): Robust standard errors in parentheses
***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1
Source(s): Authors' own work