Calibration and codification of the conditions and outcomes
| Outcome/condition | Detailed description | Code name | Calibration anchor points* |
|---|---|---|---|
| Growth rates of GDP | % Change in the first quarter of 2020 over the previous quarter | GROWTHRATE | 100, 96.7, 95 |
| Stringency index | Composite measure of nine policy-response indicators to the pandemic | STRINGENCY | 90, 81.7, 70 |
| E-commerce sales | Share of enterprises selling online | ECOMMERCE | 30, 17, 11 |
| Older employees | Population aged 50–64 | AGE | 21, 20.5, 19 |
| Work-from-home | Share of employed persons usually working from home | TELEWORK | 8, 5.3, 2 |
| Outcome/condition | Detailed description | Code name | Calibration anchor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Growth rates of GDP | % Change in the first quarter of 2020 over the previous quarter | GROWTHRATE | 100, 96.7, 95 |
| Stringency index | Composite measure of nine policy-response indicators to the pandemic | STRINGENCY | 90, 81.7, 70 |
| E-commerce sales | Share of enterprises selling online | ECOMMERCE | 30, 17, 11 |
| Older employees | Population aged 50–64 | AGE | 21, 20.5, 19 |
| Work-from-home | Share of employed persons usually working from home | TELEWORK | 8, 5.3, 2 |
Note: *Full membership, crossover point, full non-membership
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