Table 1.

Calibration and codification of the conditions and outcomes

Outcome/conditionDetailed descriptionCode nameCalibration anchor
points*
Growth rates of GDP% Change in the first quarter of 2020 over the previous quarterGROWTHRATE100, 96.7, 95
Stringency indexComposite measure of nine policy-response indicators to the pandemicSTRINGENCY90, 81.7, 70
E-commerce salesShare of enterprises selling onlineECOMMERCE30, 17, 11
Older employeesPopulation aged 50–64AGE21, 20.5, 19
Work-from-homeShare of employed persons usually working from homeTELEWORK8, 5.3, 2

Note: *Full membership, crossover point, full non-membership

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