VECM system
| Beta (cointegrating vectors standard errors in parentheses) | Alpha (adjustment vectors) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| d_GDP | 1.0000 | (0.00000) | −0.0017288 | |||
| d_IS | −88.420 | (166.32) | 0.00055033 | |||
| d_OS | −341.40 | (66.103) | 0.0038695 | |||
| Equation (1): d_d_GDP | Coefficient | Std. Error | t-ratio | p-value | ||
| Const | −21670.0 | 17434.0 | −1.243 | 0.2358 | ||
| EC1 | −0.00172882 | 0.00103975 | −1.663 | 0.1203 | ||
| R2 0.175373 | Adjusted R2 0.111940 | DW 1.635717 | ||||
| Equation (2): d_d_IS | Coefficient | Std. Error | t-ratio | p-value | ||
| Const | 5348.96 | 7390.76 | 0.7237 | 0.4820 | ||
| EC1 | 0.000550327 | 0.000440778 | 1.249 | 0.2339 | ||
| R2 0.107072 | Adjusted R2 0.038385 | DW 2.927567 | ||||
| Equation (3): d_d_OS | Coefficient | Std. Error | t-ratio | p-value | ||
| Const | 44722.9 | 11987.9 | 3.731 | 0.0025*** | ||
| EC1 | 0.00386950 | 0.000714948 | 5.412 | 0.0001*** | ||
| R2 0.692619 | Adjusted R2 0.668975 | DW 2.141991 | ||||
| Beta (cointegrating vectors standard errors in parentheses) | Alpha (adjustment vectors) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| d_GDP | 1.0000 | (0.00000) | −0.0017288 | |||
| d_IS | −88.420 | (166.32) | 0.00055033 | |||
| d_OS | −341.40 | (66.103) | 0.0038695 | |||
| Const | −21670.0 | 17434.0 | −1.243 | 0.2358 | ||
| EC1 | −0.00172882 | 0.00103975 | −1.663 | 0.1203 | ||
| Adjusted | DW 1.635717 | |||||
| Const | 5348.96 | 7390.76 | 0.7237 | 0.4820 | ||
| EC1 | 0.000550327 | 0.000440778 | 1.249 | 0.2339 | ||
| Adjusted | DW 2.927567 | |||||
| Const | 44722.9 | 11987.9 | 3.731 | 0.0025*** | ||
| EC1 | 0.00386950 | 0.000714948 | 5.412 | 0.0001*** | ||
| Adjusted | DW 2.141991 | |||||
Note(s): Lag order 1, 2006–2020 (T = 15), cointegration rank = 1; *p < 0.1, **p < 0.05, ***p < 0.01