The odds release and the match result
| Panel A): Lost matches | Panel B): Won matches | Panel C): Tied matches | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Event window | Number of firms | Mean CAR (%) | T1 | T2 | T3 | Number of firms | Mean CAR (%) | T1 | T2 | T3 | Number of firms | Mean CAR (%) | T1 | T2 | T3 |
| (−10, −1) | 243 | −0.530 | −1.165 | −1.525 | 2.887 | 246 | 0.131 | 0.255 | −0.120 | −1.275 | 153 | −0.314 | −0.595 | −1.092 | 2.183 |
| (−5, −1) | 245 | −0.116 | −0.311 | −1.205 | 1.597 | 246 | 0.727 | 1.855 | −1.009 | 0.510 | 153 | 0.430 | 1.164 | −0.698 | 0.081 |
| (−3, −1) | 245 | 0.016 | 0.054 | −1.178 | 0.958 | 246 | 0.675 | 2.188 | −1.726 | 1.275 | 153 | 0.283 | 0.897 | −0.767 | 0.081 |
| (−1, 0) | 245 | −0.243 | −0.983 | −1.275 | 1.725 | 246 | 0.525 | 1.800 | −0.926 | 1.148 | 153 | 0.648 | 2.453 | 1.182 | 1.051 |
| (0, 10) | 245 | −2.457*** | −4.086 | −6.244 | 5.558 | 246 | 0.137 | 0.231 | −1.163 | 0.128 | 153 | −2.396 | −3.060 | −3.318 | 1.050 |
| (0, 5) | 245 | −2.279* | −4.620 | −1.305 | 5.303 | 246 | 0.467 | 0.889 | −1.143 | 0.383 | 153 | −1.211 | −2.271 | −1.230 | 2.506 |
| (0, 3) | 245 | −2.340* | −5.223 | −1.304 | 6.325 | 246 | 0.803 | 1.801 | −0.875 | 1.785 | 153 | −0.451 | −0.951 | 0.680 | 1.859 |
| (0, 1) | 245 | −1.905* | −5.125 | −1.323 | 5.558 | 246 | 1.592 | 3.454 | 1.116 | 3.825 | 153 | 0.053 | 0.123 | 2.203 | 0.081 |
| Panel A): Lost matches | Panel B): Won matches | Panel C): Tied matches | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Event window | Number of firms | Mean CAR (%) | Number of firms | Mean CAR (%) | Number of firms | Mean CAR (%) | |||||||||
| (−10, −1) | 243 | −0.530 | −1.165 | −1.525 | 2.887 | 246 | 0.131 | 0.255 | −0.120 | −1.275 | 153 | −0.314 | −0.595 | −1.092 | 2.183 |
| (−5, −1) | 245 | −0.116 | −0.311 | −1.205 | 1.597 | 246 | 0.727 | 1.855 | −1.009 | 0.510 | 153 | 0.430 | 1.164 | −0.698 | 0.081 |
| (−3, −1) | 245 | 0.016 | 0.054 | −1.178 | 0.958 | 246 | 0.675 | 2.188 | −1.726 | 1.275 | 153 | 0.283 | 0.897 | −0.767 | 0.081 |
| (−1, 0) | 245 | −0.243 | −0.983 | −1.275 | 1.725 | 246 | 0.525 | 1.800 | −0.926 | 1.148 | 153 | 0.648 | 2.453 | 1.182 | 1.051 |
| (0, 10) | 245 | −2.457*** | −4.086 | −6.244 | 5.558 | 246 | 0.137 | 0.231 | −1.163 | 0.128 | 153 | −2.396 | −3.060 | −3.318 | 1.050 |
| (0, 5) | 245 | −2.279* | −4.620 | −1.305 | 5.303 | 246 | 0.467 | 0.889 | −1.143 | 0.383 | 153 | −1.211 | −2.271 | −1.230 | 2.506 |
| (0, 3) | 245 | −2.340* | −5.223 | −1.304 | 6.325 | 246 | 0.803 | 1.801 | −0.875 | 1.785 | 153 | −0.451 | −0.951 | 0.680 | 1.859 |
| (0, 1) | 245 | −1.905* | −5.125 | −1.323 | 5.558 | 246 | 1.592 | 3.454 | 1.116 | 3.825 | 153 | 0.053 | 0.123 | 2.203 | 0.081 |
Note(s): Table 7 shows the results of event studies carried out on 11 listed football teams participating in the UCL related to the announcement of betting odds and match results. We measured the predicted normal bank returns using the market model. The CAR statistical significance was verified using three tests (T1, T2 and T3) reported in Equations (6), (7) and (9)
*, **, *** denote the statistical significance at 10%, 5% and 1%, respectively (one-tailed test)
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