Unit root tests
| ADF | PP | ZA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| t stat | t stat | t stat | TB | ||
| Constant only | −0.71 | −0.71 | −3.57 | 2019M05 | |
| Constant plus trend | −1.59 | −1.63 | −4.24 | 2018M05 | |
| Constant only | −7.63*** | −7.64*** | |||
| Constant plus trend | −7.60*** | −7.60*** | |||
| Constant only | −1.71 | −1.73 | −2.60 | 2017M09 | |
| Constant plus trend | −1.52 | −1.51 | −6.67*** | 2017M12 | |
| Constant only | −6.90*** | −6.89*** | |||
| Constant plus trend | −6.98*** | −6.98*** | |||
| ADF | PP | ZA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | |||||
| Constant only | −0.71 | −0.71 | −3.57 | 2019M05 | |
| Constant plus trend | −1.59 | −1.63 | −4.24 | 2018M05 | |
| Constant only | −7.63*** | −7.64*** | |||
| Constant plus trend | −7.60*** | −7.60*** | |||
| Constant only | −1.71 | −1.73 | −2.60 | 2017M09 | |
| Constant plus trend | −1.52 | −1.51 | −6.67*** | 2017M12 | |
| Constant only | −6.90*** | −6.89*** | |||
| Constant plus trend | −6.98*** | −6.98*** | |||
Note(s): ADF = augmented Dickey–Fuller (1981) test; PP = Phillips–Perron (1988) test; ZA = Zivot–Andrews (1992) unit root test, allowing for one break; the lag lengths for the ADF and ZA tests are based on the Schwarz information criterion (SIC). *** denotes significance at the 1% level