DiD estimates on the impacts of the US-China trade war on Vietnamese exports
| Dependent variable | Total exports (all HS) | Machinery and mechanical appliances (HS84) | Electrical machinery (HS85) | Textiles and garments (HS50-HS64) | Fish (HS03) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradewar | 0.141*** | 0.189* | −0.077 | 0.241*** | 0.150 |
| (0.024) | (0.112) | (0.082) | (0.063) | (0.224) | |
| Constant | 11.631*** | 9.224*** | 8.334*** | 6.949*** | 13.087*** |
| (0.333) | (0.287) | (0.234) | (0.541) | (0.300) | |
| Observations | 28,154 | 2,300 | 2,445 | 5,827 | 1,022 |
| R-squared | 0.891 | 0.849 | 0.899 | 0.903 | 0.886 |
| Dependent variable | Total exports (all HS) | Machinery and mechanical appliances (HS84) | Electrical machinery (HS85) | Textiles and garments (HS50-HS64) | Fish (HS03) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradewar | 0.141*** | 0.189* | −0.077 | 0.241*** | 0.150 |
| (0.024) | (0.112) | (0.082) | (0.063) | (0.224) | |
| Constant | 11.631*** | 9.224*** | 8.334*** | 6.949*** | 13.087*** |
| (0.333) | (0.287) | (0.234) | (0.541) | (0.300) | |
| Observations | 28,154 | 2,300 | 2,445 | 5,827 | 1,022 |
| 0.891 | 0.849 | 0.899 | 0.903 | 0.886 |
| Dependent variable | Plastics (HS39) | Vegetables, fruits, nuts (HS07,08,20) | Wood (HS44) | Furniture (HS94) | Iron or steel articles (HS73) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tradewar | 0.356** | 0.063 | 0.025 | 0.013 | 0.308*** |
| (0.150) | (0.243) | (0.135) | (0.143) | (0.114) | |
| Constant | 13.051*** | 8.552*** | 9.023*** | 14.879*** | 9.799*** |
| (0.238) | (0.659) | (0.204) | (0.227) | (0.564) | |
| Observations | 958 | 1,103 | 646 | 753 | 1,753 |
| R-squared | 0.861 | 0.882 | 0.923 | 0.927 | 0.856 |
| Dependent variable | Plastics (HS39) | Vegetables, fruits, nuts (HS07,08,20) | Wood (HS44) | Furniture (HS94) | Iron or steel articles (HS73) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tradewar | 0.356** | 0.063 | 0.025 | 0.013 | 0.308*** |
| (0.150) | (0.243) | (0.135) | (0.143) | (0.114) | |
| Constant | 13.051*** | 8.552*** | 9.023*** | 14.879*** | 9.799*** |
| (0.238) | (0.659) | (0.204) | (0.227) | (0.564) | |
| Observations | 958 | 1,103 | 646 | 753 | 1,753 |
| 0.861 | 0.882 | 0.923 | 0.927 | 0.856 |
Note(s): Standard errors in parentheses, ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1
Source(s): Calculations of the authors based on UN Comtrade data
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