VAR(2) model parameter estimates
| Explanatory variable | Dependent variable | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | BNB BTC | COIN BTC | Kraken BTC | CMC BTC | BNB ETH | COIN ETH | Kraken ETH | CMC ETH | |
| S&P 500 L1 | −0.175*** | −0.031 | −0.032 | −0.029 | −0.034 | 0.087 | 0.092 | 0.149 | 0.093 |
| BNB BTC L1 | 0.382 | 4.152 | 4.611 | 4.682 | 4.220 | 9.556** | 9.752** | 4.485 | 8.982** |
| COIN BTC L1 | 0.754 | 7.114* | 6.374 | 7.112* | 6.415 | 8.094 | 8.348 | 7.372 | 7.817 |
| Kraken BTC L1 | −1.293 | −11.106*** | −10.822 | −11.614*** | −9.980*** | −16.999*** | −17.403*** | −12.773*** | −16.194*** |
| CMC BTC L1 | 0.137 | −0.151 | −0.149 | −0.166 | −0.629 | −0.712 | −0.761 | 0.810 | −0.657 |
| BNB ETH L1 | 2.338*** | 2.177 | 2.091 | 2.090 | 2.347 | 5.264* | 6.010** | 5.873** | 6.335** |
| COIN ETH L1 | −2.072*** | −2.765 | −2.669 | −2.678 | −2.920 | −5.996* | −6.769** | −5.695* | −6.527** |
| Kraken ETH L1 | 0.001 | −0.043 | −0.0431 | −0.045 | −0.046 | −0.086 | −0.087 | −0.456*** | −0.090 |
| CMC ETH L1 | −0.254 | 0.528 | 0.517 | 0.528 | 0.515 | 0.731 | 0.760 | 0.402 | 0.200 |
| S&P 500 L2 | 0.131*** | −0.131 | −0.120 | −0.124 | −0.070 | 0.004 | −0.005 | −0.011 | 0.038 |
| BNB BTC L2 | 3.123*** | 10.226*** | 10.404*** | 10.471*** | 9.426*** | 15.340*** | 15.551*** | 6.792 | 14.539*** |
| COIN BTC L2 | −1.819 | −1.150 | −1.544 | −1.136 | −1.259 | −6.163 | −6.007 | −3.858 | −5.881 |
| Kraken BTC L2 | −0.863 | −8.876** | −8.675** | −9.130** | −7.831** | −9.487* | −9.774** | −2.914 | −8.961* |
| CMC BTC L2 | −0.450 | −0.204 | −0.190 | −0.209 | −0.340 | 0.276 | 0.195 | −0.214 | 0.262 |
| BNB ETH L2 | 0.3792 | 4.456* | 4.464* | 4.445* | 4.615** | 6.390** | 6.714** | 4.275 | 6.837** |
| COIN ETH L2 | −0.698 | −4.519* | −4.513* | −4.509* | −4.558* | −6.468** | −6.851** | −4.290 | −6.648** |
| Kraken ETH L2 | 0.0218 | 0.054 | 0.0538 | 0.053 | 0.053 | 0.024 | 0.024 | −0.213*** | 0.029 |
| CMC ETH L2 | 0.332 | 0.125 | 0.110 | 0.129 | 0.009 | 0.270 | 0.331 | 0.600 | 0.010 |
| Constant | 0.001 | 0.003 | 0.003 | 0.003 | 0.003 | 0.005* | 0.005* | 0.004 | 0.005* |
| Explanatory variable | Dependent variable | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | BNB BTC | COIN BTC | Kraken BTC | CMC BTC | BNB ETH | COIN ETH | Kraken ETH | CMC ETH | |
| S&P 500 L1 | −0.175*** | −0.031 | −0.032 | −0.029 | −0.034 | 0.087 | 0.092 | 0.149 | 0.093 |
| BNB BTC L1 | 0.382 | 4.152 | 4.611 | 4.682 | 4.220 | 9.556** | 9.752** | 4.485 | 8.982** |
| COIN BTC L1 | 0.754 | 7.114* | 6.374 | 7.112* | 6.415 | 8.094 | 8.348 | 7.372 | 7.817 |
| Kraken BTC L1 | −1.293 | −11.106*** | −10.822 | −11.614*** | −9.980*** | −16.999*** | −17.403*** | −12.773*** | −16.194*** |
| CMC BTC L1 | 0.137 | −0.151 | −0.149 | −0.166 | −0.629 | −0.712 | −0.761 | 0.810 | −0.657 |
| BNB ETH L1 | 2.338*** | 2.177 | 2.091 | 2.090 | 2.347 | 5.264* | 6.010** | 5.873** | 6.335** |
| COIN ETH L1 | −2.072*** | −2.765 | −2.669 | −2.678 | −2.920 | −5.996* | −6.769** | −5.695* | −6.527** |
| Kraken ETH L1 | 0.001 | −0.043 | −0.0431 | −0.045 | −0.046 | −0.086 | −0.087 | −0.456*** | −0.090 |
| CMC ETH L1 | −0.254 | 0.528 | 0.517 | 0.528 | 0.515 | 0.731 | 0.760 | 0.402 | 0.200 |
| S&P 500 L2 | 0.131*** | −0.131 | −0.120 | −0.124 | −0.070 | 0.004 | −0.005 | −0.011 | 0.038 |
| BNB BTC L2 | 3.123*** | 10.226*** | 10.404*** | 10.471*** | 9.426*** | 15.340*** | 15.551*** | 6.792 | 14.539*** |
| COIN BTC L2 | −1.819 | −1.150 | −1.544 | −1.136 | −1.259 | −6.163 | −6.007 | −3.858 | −5.881 |
| Kraken BTC L2 | −0.863 | −8.876** | −8.675** | −9.130** | −7.831** | −9.487* | −9.774** | −2.914 | −8.961* |
| CMC BTC L2 | −0.450 | −0.204 | −0.190 | −0.209 | −0.340 | 0.276 | 0.195 | −0.214 | 0.262 |
| BNB ETH L2 | 0.3792 | 4.456* | 4.464* | 4.445* | 4.615** | 6.390** | 6.714** | 4.275 | 6.837** |
| COIN ETH L2 | −0.698 | −4.519* | −4.513* | −4.509* | −4.558* | −6.468** | −6.851** | −4.290 | −6.648** |
| Kraken ETH L2 | 0.0218 | 0.054 | 0.0538 | 0.053 | 0.053 | 0.024 | 0.024 | −0.213*** | 0.029 |
| CMC ETH L2 | 0.332 | 0.125 | 0.110 | 0.129 | 0.009 | 0.270 | 0.331 | 0.600 | 0.010 |
| Constant | 0.001 | 0.003 | 0.003 | 0.003 | 0.003 | 0.005* | 0.005* | 0.004 | 0.005* |
Note(s): “***” significant at 1%, “**” significant at 5% and “*”, significant at 10%, L1: lag of 1 period, L2: lag of 2 periods. CMC – CoinMarketCap, COIN – Coinbase, BNB – Binance, BTC – BTC-USD, ETH – ETH-USD, S&P500 – S&P500 (USD)
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