Table A1 Quantitative Delphi results...

Table A1

Quantitative Delphi results

		I-statistics				D-statistics				T-statistics
Nr.	Prospective thesis	Mean	IQR	SD	CV	Mean	IQR	SD	CV	Mean	SD	CV*	Never
1	PCF transparency	4.7	2	1.24	−8.05	4.67	2	1.47	−6.30	2033.12	4.41	−16.37	1
2	Carbon pricing	5.76	2	1.24	−5.59	5.60	1	1.22	−3.00	2031.31	5.24	−23.14	3
3	Carbon-neutrality incentives	5.18	2	1.13	−10.31	5.33	1	1.26	−7.20	2029.42	4.32	−16.52	1
4	CE regulation	4.9	2	1.14	−8.92	5.22	1	1.15	−8.25	2032.88	4.50	−23.73	1
5	Nonfossil electricity	6.06	1	0.99	−12.28	6.18	1	1.00	−4.27	2038.71	4.59	−26.67	4
6	Carbon-neutral investments	4.88	2	1.26	−13.36	5.10	1	1.43	0.16	2033.94	5.65	−12.36	4
7	Carbon-adjusted interest rates	4.87	1.5	1.04	−19.61	4.79	1.5	1.24	−13.31	2031.50	5.46	−13.00	3
8	B2B pays for carbon-neutrality	4.57	2	1.51	−11.08	4.91	2	1.39	−6.12	2032.51	5.50	−21.96	2
9	CO₂ data sharing	4.9	2	1.22	1.00	5.15	1	1.13	−6.26	2031.37	4.26	−13.14	2
10	New zero-carbon energy	4.6	2	1.64	0.98	4.94	2	1.54	−12.83	2040.75	4.90	−14.87	14
11	CCS	4.45	2	1.56	−3.59	4.82	2	1.49	−1.02	2036.47	4.96	−17.30	5
12	Zero-carbon logistics	4.42	1	1.16	−17.81	4.90	2	1.37	−2.77	2037.89	5.49	−17.79	1

		I-statistics				D-statistics				T-statistics
Nr.	Prospective thesis	Mean	IQR	SD	CV	Mean	IQR	SD	CV	Mean	SD	CV*	Never
1	PCF transparency	4.7	2	1.24	−8.05	4.67	2	1.47	−6.30	2033.12	4.41	−16.37	1
2	Carbon pricing	5.76	2	1.24	−5.59	5.60	1	1.22	−3.00	2031.31	5.24	−23.14	3
3	Carbon-neutrality incentives	5.18	2	1.13	−10.31	5.33	1	1.26	−7.20	2029.42	4.32	−16.52	1
4	CE regulation	4.9	2	1.14	−8.92	5.22	1	1.15	−8.25	2032.88	4.50	−23.73	1
5	Nonfossil electricity	6.06	1	0.99	−12.28	6.18	1	1.00	−4.27	2038.71	4.59	−26.67	4
6	Carbon-neutral investments	4.88	2	1.26	−13.36	5.10	1	1.43	0.16	2033.94	5.65	−12.36	4
7	Carbon-adjusted interest rates	4.87	1.5	1.04	−19.61	4.79	1.5	1.24	−13.31	2031.50	5.46	−13.00	3
8	B2B pays for carbon-neutrality	4.57	2	1.51	−11.08	4.91	2	1.39	−6.12	2032.51	5.50	−21.96	2
9	CO₂ data sharing	4.9	2	1.22	1.00	5.15	1	1.13	−6.26	2031.37	4.26	−13.14	2
10	New zero-carbon energy	4.6	2	1.64	0.98	4.94	2	1.54	−12.83	2040.75	4.90	−14.87	14
11	CCS	4.45	2	1.56	−3.59	4.82	2	1.49	−1.02	2036.47	4.96	−17.30	5
12	Zero-carbon logistics	4.42	1	1.16	−17.81	4.90	2	1.37	−2.77	2037.89	5.49	−17.79	1

Notes:

Prospective theses with consensus among panelists are marked in italic; I = impact in case of occurrence (seven-point Likert-scale; 1 = very low; 7 = very high); D = desirability of occurrence (seven-point Likert-scale; 1 = very low; 7 = very high); T = estimated time of occurrence (2023–2050); IQR = interquartile range; *experts rating T as “never” in one of the two rounds were excluded.

Source: Authors’ own work

[ViewLarge]

Sharing Unavailable