Impulse-response effect of the ISI on the variables of interest
| Steps | ISI | Return | Volatility | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IRF | FEVD | IRF | FEVD | IRF | FEVD | |
| 1 | 0.0061 | 1.0000 | −0.0012 | 0.0192 | −0.0132 | 0.0437 |
| 2 | 0.0037 | 0.9995 | −0.0001 | 0.0287 | −0.0136 | 0.0423 |
| 3 | 0.0013 | 0.9992 | <0.0000 | 0.0283 | −0.0032 | 0.0421 |
| 4 | 0.0006 | 0.9990 | <0.0001 | 0.0283 | −0.0028 | 0.0414 |
| 5 | 0.0002 | 0.9990 | <0.0000 | 0.0283 | −0.0014 | 0.0410 |
| 6 | 0.0001 | 0.9989 | <0.0001 | 0.0283 | −0.0009 | 0.0409 |
| 7 | <0.0001 | 0.9989 | <0.0001 | 0.0283 | −0.0005 | 0.0409 |
| 8 | <0.0001 | 0.9989 | <0.0001 | 0.0283 | −0.0003 | 0.0408 |
| 9 | <0.0001 | 0.9989 | <0.0001 | 0.0283 | −0.0002 | 0.0408 |
| 10 | <0.0001 | 0.9989 | <0.0001 | 0.0283 | −0.0001 | 0.0408 |
| Steps | ISI | Return | Volatility | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IRF | FEVD | IRF | FEVD | IRF | FEVD | |
| 1 | 0.0061 | 1.0000 | −0.0012 | 0.0192 | −0.0132 | 0.0437 |
| 2 | 0.0037 | 0.9995 | −0.0001 | 0.0287 | −0.0136 | 0.0423 |
| 3 | 0.0013 | 0.9992 | <0.0000 | 0.0283 | −0.0032 | 0.0421 |
| 4 | 0.0006 | 0.9990 | <0.0001 | 0.0283 | −0.0028 | 0.0414 |
| 5 | 0.0002 | 0.9990 | <0.0000 | 0.0283 | −0.0014 | 0.0410 |
| 6 | 0.0001 | 0.9989 | <0.0001 | 0.0283 | −0.0009 | 0.0409 |
| 7 | <0.0001 | 0.9989 | <0.0001 | 0.0283 | −0.0005 | 0.0409 |
| 8 | <0.0001 | 0.9989 | <0.0001 | 0.0283 | −0.0003 | 0.0408 |
| 9 | <0.0001 | 0.9989 | <0.0001 | 0.0283 | −0.0002 | 0.0408 |
| 10 | <0.0001 | 0.9989 | <0.0001 | 0.0283 | −0.0001 | 0.0408 |
Note(s): ISI is the Twitter Investor Sentiment Index, IRF is the impulse response function, FEVD is forecast error variance decomposition