Table 9

Post-DFA increase in regulatory uncertainty and tax planning

Cash ETR3-year cash ETRTA.I.3-yr TA.I.
Panel A: regulatory uncertainty (R.U.)
Post-DFA Intensity in R.U. = 1 × StressTest = 1−0.132**−0.241***0.0480.287***
(0.065)(0.059)(0.075)(0.100)
Observations319319319319
Adjusted R20.1230.2680.2670.190
Panel B: regulatory uncertainty sentiment (R.U.S.)
Post-DFA Intensity in R.U.S. = 1 × StressTest = 10.018−0.412**0.0420.202
(0.043)(0.157)(0.113)(0.129)
Observations319319319319
Adjusted R20.1200.2790.2640.191
Panel C: tax-related regulatory uncertainty
Post-DFA Intensity in Tax-Related R.U. = 1 × StressTest = 1−0.132**−0.241***0.0480.287***
(0.065)(0.059)(0.075)(0.100)
Observations319319319319
Adjusted R20.1230.2680.2670.190
Panel D: portfolio uncertainty
Post-DFA Intensity in Portfolio Uncertainty = 1 × StressTest = 10.110−0.066−0.0740.035
(0.079)(0.051)(0.067)(0.093)
Observations319319319319
Adjusted R20.1230.2680.2670.190

Note(s): The table exhibits the marginal impact of the Dodd–Frank stress tests for banks with a Post-DFA increase in regulatory uncertainty post-Dodd–Frank compared to the pre-Dodd–Frank period on tax avoidance (Cash ETR) and TAI, using our four different measures of bank uncertainty. Post-DFA Intensity in R.U., Post-DFA intensity in R.U.S., Post-DFA Intensity in tax-related R.U. and Post-DFA Intensity in portfolio uncertainty are dummy variables equal to 1 for categories of large banks and regional banks in the top tercile increase in the regulatory uncertainty, regulatory uncertainty sentiment, the tax-related regulatory uncertainty and the portfolio-related uncertainty sentiment, respectively, in the post-implementation of Dodd–Frank period (2011–2016) compared to the years 2005–2010. StressTest is a dummy variable equal to 1 for CCAR stress test banks and zero for Non-CCAR stress test banks. The dependent variables are the contemporaneous and the three-year rolling average cash effective tax rate and the TAI. Control variables include the bank characteristics as shown in Table 2. Bank and year-fixed effects are included in the regressions. Standard errors are clustered at the bank level and are reported in parentheses. ***, ** and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively

Source(s): Authors’ own work

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