Table 7

Selected simulation results showing effects of diversification by origin

Model scenarioSimulation meanSD (Risk)US shareBrazilian share
Base-case$211,848,219$161,369,43835%65%
25% Tariff on US soybeans$245,659,731$172,325,75825%75%
100% from Brazil$341,243,451$161,417,9770%100%
100% from the United States$503,117,345$70,975,165100%0%

Source(s): Authors’ own creation

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