GMM estimations of the effect of ESG controversies on insurers’ insolvency risk (distance to default in logarithms)
| Variables | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Insolvency risk t-1 | 0.4330*** | 0.4513*** | 0.4517*** | 0.5060*** |
| ESG controversies t-1 | 0.0102* | 0.0086* | 0.0120** | |
| ESG practices t-1 | −0.0169*** | −0.0192** | ||
| ESG controversies t-1 x ESG practices t-1 | −0.0002* | |||
| Reinsurance t-1 | 2.5704*** | 1.1807 | 1.2370 | −0.5787 |
| Premium growth t-1 | 0.0170 | 0.0237 | 0.2335 | 0.3860 |
| Equity growth t-1 | −1.3302*** | −1.2552** | −0.8163* | 0.1262 |
| Leverage t-1 | −0.0039 | −0.0252** | 0.0168 | 0.0101 |
| Firm size t-1 | −0.039 | −0.0993 | −0.0053 | 0.0038 |
| Inflation | 0.0133 | 0.0033 | 0.0133 | −0.0038 |
| HHI | 0.0174 | 0.0632 | 0.0682* | 0.0517* |
| GDP growth | −0.0538*** | −0.0345* | −0.0149 | −0.0453** |
| Activity dummy | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Region dummy | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Year dummy | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| m1 | −6.38 | −6.41 | −5.34 | −5.17 |
| m2 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 0.18 | −0.18 |
| Hansen | 86.94(79) | 71.58(72) | 74.74(82) | 87.93(97) |
| Observations | 1,271 | 1,271 | 1,271 | 1,271 |
| Number of firms | 120 | 120 | 120 | 120 |
| Variables | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4330*** | 0.4513*** | 0.4517*** | 0.5060*** | |
| 0.0102* | 0.0086* | 0.0120** | ||
| −0.0169*** | −0.0192** | |||
| −0.0002* | ||||
| 2.5704*** | 1.1807 | 1.2370 | −0.5787 | |
| 0.0170 | 0.0237 | 0.2335 | 0.3860 | |
| −1.3302*** | −1.2552** | −0.8163* | 0.1262 | |
| −0.0039 | −0.0252** | 0.0168 | 0.0101 | |
| −0.039 | −0.0993 | −0.0053 | 0.0038 | |
| 0.0133 | 0.0033 | 0.0133 | −0.0038 | |
| 0.0174 | 0.0632 | 0.0682* | 0.0517* | |
| −0.0538*** | −0.0345* | −0.0149 | −0.0453** | |
| Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| m1 | −6.38 | −6.41 | −5.34 | −5.17 |
| m2 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 0.18 | −0.18 |
| Hansen | 86.94(79) | 71.58(72) | 74.74(82) | 87.93(97) |
| Observations | 1,271 | 1,271 | 1,271 | 1,271 |
| Number of firms | 120 | 120 | 120 | 120 |
Note(s): This table presents the determinants of the Insolvency risk for 120 North American, Canadian, Bermuda, and European insurance issuers from 2011 to 2022 using the system-GMM estimation. Insolvency risk is the neperian logarithm of Z-score multiplied by minus one; ESG controversies is ESG controversies score from Eikon multiplied by minus one; ESG practices is the ESG Score from Eikon; Reinsurance is the ratio of reinsurance premiums paid to total premiums earned; Premium growth is the annual growth of total premiums. Equity growth is the annual growth of total equity; Leverage is the debt to equity ratio; Firm size is the logarithm of total assets; Inflation is the annual inflation rate; HHI is the Herfindahl–Hirschman index calculated as the sum of the squares of all insurance companies’ market share in terms of premiums written, and GDP growth is the annual real GDP growth rate. Significance levels are indicated as follows ***, **, and *: significant at the 1, 5, and 10 percent level. mi is a serial correlation test of order i using residuals in first differences, asymptotically distributed as N(0,1) under the null hypothesis of no serial correlation. Hansen is a test of the overidentifying restrictions, asymptotically distributed as χ2 under the null hypothesis of no correlation between the instruments and the error term, with degrees of freedom in parentheses
Source(s): Table by authors
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