Endogeneity analysis
| First stage | Second stage | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | |
| ESG_uncertaintyi,t | NCSKEWi,t | DUVOLi,t | |
| Panel A:ESG Divergence and Stock Price Crash Risk (H1) | |||
| IVi,t | 0.003*** | ||
| (3.210) | |||
| ESG_uncertaintyi,t−1 | 0.017** | 0.010** | |
| (2.507) | (2.420) | ||
| NCSKEWi,t−1 | 0.047*** | ||
| (6.301) | |||
| DUVOLi,t−1 | 0.048*** | ||
| (6.394) | |||
| Sizei,t−1 | 0.003** | 0.001 | −0.003 |
| (2.330) | (0.267) | (−0.701) | |
| BMi,t−1 | 0.002*** | −0.021*** | −0.012*** |
| (3.024) | (−4.231) | (−3.440) | |
| Levi,t−1 | −0.021*** | −0.012 | −0.012 |
| (−3.370) | (−0.410) | (−0.521) | |
| Big4i,t−1 | 0.012*** | −0.010 | −0.004 |
| (3.284) | (−0.569) | (−0.307) | |
| ROAi,t−1 | 0.070*** | 0.011 | 0.017 |
| (4.677) | (0.161) | (0.330) | |
| DAi,t−1 | −0.017 | −0.026 | 0.008 |
| (−1.271) | (−0.430) | (0.180) | |
| Reti,t−1 | 0.166 | 9.971*** | 6.794*** |
| (1.014) | (13.388) | (12.176) | |
| Sigmai,t−1 | −0.198*** | −0.721 | −0.878*** |
| (−2.680) | (−1.941) | (−3.263) | |
| SOEi,t−1 | 0.007*** | −0.072*** | −0.044*** |
| (3.411) | (−6.850) | (−5.808) | |
| Intercept | 0.108*** | −0.137 | 0.020 |
| (4.197) | (−1.121) | (0.224) | |
| Year fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Industry fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| N | 20,662 | 13,134 | 13,134 |
| Adj R2 | 0.033 | 0.217 | 0.214 |
| F-value | 22.660 | 22.064 | 23.497 |
| Panel B: Independent directors as moderators of ESG divergence (H2) | |||
| IVi,t | 0.003*** | ||
| (3.157) | |||
| ESG_uncertaintyi,t−1 | −5.218** | −2.928*** | |
| (−2.170) | (−2.717) | ||
| ATTTi,t−1 | −0.005 | 0.390** | 0.010** |
| (−0.170) | (2.091) | (2.034) | |
| ATTTi,t−1 ESG_uncertaintyi,t | −1.559** | −0.609** | |
| (−2.419) | (−2.421) | ||
| Sizei,t−1 | 0.003*** | −0.055* | −0.025** |
| (2.691) | (−1.764) | (−2.069) | |
| BMi,t−1 | 0.002*** | −0.049** | −0.021** |
| (2.934) | (−2.410) | (−2.530) | |
| Levi,t−1 | −0.022*** | 0.143 | 0.052 |
| (−3.389) | (1.049) | (0.979) | |
| Big4i,t−1 | 0.009** | −0.026 | −0.009 |
| (2.490) | (−0.414) | (−0.354) | |
| ROAi,t−1 | 0.072*** | −1.258* | −0.417 |
| (4.807) | (−1.773) | (−1.481) | |
| DAi,t−1 | −0.017 | 0.433 | 0.167 |
| (−1.255) | (1.259) | (1.239) | |
| Reti,t−1 | 0.169 | 4.576 | 4.381*** |
| (1.030) | (1.255) | (3.002) | |
| Sigmai,t−1 | −0.190** | −0.039 | −0.439 |
| (−2.571) | (−0.036) | (−0.790) | |
| SOEi,t−1 | 0.007*** | −0.144** | −0.065*** |
| (3.120) | (−2.510) | (−2.849) | |
| Intercept | 0.097*** | −0.680 | 0.006 |
| (2.633) | (−0.731) | (0.024) | |
| Year fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Industry fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| N | 20,398 | 16,131 | 16,131 |
| Adj R2 | 0.034 | 0.057 | 0.059 |
| F-value | 15.524 | 5.625 | 6.531 |
| First stage | Second stage | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | |
| ESG_uncertainty | NCSKEW | DUVOL | |
| IV | 0.003*** | ||
| (3.210) | |||
| ESG_uncertainty | 0.017** | 0.010** | |
| (2.507) | (2.420) | ||
| NCSKEW | 0.047*** | ||
| (6.301) | |||
| DUVOL | 0.048*** | ||
| (6.394) | |||
| Size | 0.003** | 0.001 | −0.003 |
| (2.330) | (0.267) | (−0.701) | |
| BM | 0.002*** | −0.021*** | −0.012*** |
| (3.024) | (−4.231) | (−3.440) | |
| Lev | −0.021*** | −0.012 | −0.012 |
| (−3.370) | (−0.410) | (−0.521) | |
| Big4 | 0.012*** | −0.010 | −0.004 |
| (3.284) | (−0.569) | (−0.307) | |
| ROA | 0.070*** | 0.011 | 0.017 |
| (4.677) | (0.161) | (0.330) | |
| DA | −0.017 | −0.026 | 0.008 |
| (−1.271) | (−0.430) | (0.180) | |
| Ret | 0.166 | 9.971*** | 6.794*** |
| (1.014) | (13.388) | (12.176) | |
| Sigma | −0.198*** | −0.721 | −0.878*** |
| (−2.680) | (−1.941) | (−3.263) | |
| SOE | 0.007*** | −0.072*** | −0.044*** |
| (3.411) | (−6.850) | (−5.808) | |
| Intercept | 0.108*** | −0.137 | 0.020 |
| (4.197) | (−1.121) | (0.224) | |
| Year fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Industry fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| 20,662 | 13,134 | 13,134 | |
| Adj | 0.033 | 0.217 | 0.214 |
| 22.660 | 22.064 | 23.497 | |
| IV | 0.003*** | ||
| (3.157) | |||
| ESG_uncertainty | −5.218** | −2.928*** | |
| (−2.170) | (−2.717) | ||
| ATTT | −0.005 | 0.390** | 0.010** |
| (−0.170) | (2.091) | (2.034) | |
| ATTT | −1.559** | −0.609** | |
| (−2.419) | (−2.421) | ||
| Size | 0.003*** | −0.055* | −0.025** |
| (2.691) | (−1.764) | (−2.069) | |
| BM | 0.002*** | −0.049** | −0.021** |
| (2.934) | (−2.410) | (−2.530) | |
| Lev | −0.022*** | 0.143 | 0.052 |
| (−3.389) | (1.049) | (0.979) | |
| Big4 | 0.009** | −0.026 | −0.009 |
| (2.490) | (−0.414) | (−0.354) | |
| ROA | 0.072*** | −1.258* | −0.417 |
| (4.807) | (−1.773) | (−1.481) | |
| DA | −0.017 | 0.433 | 0.167 |
| (−1.255) | (1.259) | (1.239) | |
| Ret | 0.169 | 4.576 | 4.381*** |
| (1.030) | (1.255) | (3.002) | |
| Sigma | −0.190** | −0.039 | −0.439 |
| (−2.571) | (−0.036) | (−0.790) | |
| SOE | 0.007*** | −0.144** | −0.065*** |
| (3.120) | (−2.510) | (−2.849) | |
| Intercept | 0.097*** | −0.680 | 0.006 |
| (2.633) | (−0.731) | (0.024) | |
| Year fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Industry fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| 20,398 | 16,131 | 16,131 | |
| Adj | 0.034 | 0.057 | 0.059 |
| 15.524 | 5.625 | 6.531 | |
Note(s): Table 8 presents the results of the instrumental variable (IV) regression model, where the concern level of the company, measured by the number of research reports tracking the company in a given year, is used as the instrumental variable. The first column shows the results of the first stage regression, where the dependent variable is ESG_uncertainty for firm i at time t. In the second and third columns, the second stage regressions are reported, with the dependent variables NCSKEW and DUVOL, both measured at time t, while the independent variables are lagged by one period (i.e., i, t−1)
Source(s): Table by authors
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