Impact of monetary policy on bank returns
| Variable | ROADV | ROI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLS | GMM | OLS | GMM | |
| Credit-deposit ratio (CDR) | −0.01** | −0.01** | −0.001 | −0.002*** |
| (0.00) | (0.00) | (0.00) | (0.00) | |
| Ratio of deposits to total liabilities (RD) | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Ratio of priority sector advances to total advances (PSR) | −0.001 | −0.001 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Capital adequacy ratio (CAR) | −0.03*** | −0.03*** | −0.03*** | −0.03*** |
| (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Ratio of non-interest income to total assets (NITA) | 0.11 | 0.11 | −0.34*** | −0.34*** |
| (0.09) | (0.09) | (0.07) | (0.07) | |
| Ratio of intermediation cost to total assets (OICTA) | 0.25*** | 0.25*** | 0.43*** | 0.43*** |
| (0.09) | (0.09) | (0.08) | (0.08) | |
| Ratio of operating profits to total assets (OPPTA) | 0.31*** | 0.31*** | 0.38*** | 0.38*** |
| (0.06) | (0.06) | (0.05) | (0.05) | |
| Gross domestic product growth (GDPGR) | −0.13*** | −0.13*** | −0.05*** | −0.05*** |
| (0.02) | (0.02) | (0.02) | (0.02) | |
| Inflation (INFL) | 0.23*** | 0.23*** | −0.07*** | −0.07*** |
| (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Cash reserve ratio (CRR) | −0.52*** | −0.52*** | −0.22*** | −0.22*** |
| (0.03) | (0.03) | (0.03) | (0.03) | |
| Statutory liquidity ratio (SLR) | −0.05 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 |
| (0.04) | (0.04) | (0.03) | (0.03) | |
| Repo rate (RR) | −0.31*** | −0.31*** | −0.12*** | −0.12*** |
| (0.02) | (0.02) | (0.02) | (0.02) | |
| Bank rate (BR) | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| (0.03) | (0.03) | (0.02) | (0.02) | |
| Treasury bill rate (TBR) | 0.32*** | 0.32*** | 0.08*** | 0.08*** |
| (0.03) | (0.03) | (0.03) | (0.03) | |
| Intercept | 10.35*** | 10.35*** | 8.35*** | 8.35*** |
| (0.97) | (0.97) | (0.94) | (0.94) | |
| R-squared | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0.59 | 0.59 |
| Adj R-squared | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| R-squared (between) | 0.0409 | 0.0409 | 0.03 | |
| D-W stat | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| VIF range | 1.22–4.72 | 1.22–4.72 | 1.19–4.80 | |
| Fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Cross sections | 65 | 65 | 65 | 65 |
| Observations | 715 | 715 | 715 | 715 |
| Variable | ROADV | ROI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLS | GMM | OLS | GMM | |
| Credit-deposit ratio (CDR) | −0.01** | −0.01** | −0.001 | −0.002*** |
| (0.00) | (0.00) | (0.00) | (0.00) | |
| Ratio of deposits to total liabilities (RD) | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Ratio of priority sector advances to total advances (PSR) | −0.001 | −0.001 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Capital adequacy ratio (CAR) | −0.03*** | −0.03*** | −0.03*** | −0.03*** |
| (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Ratio of non-interest income to total assets (NITA) | 0.11 | 0.11 | −0.34*** | −0.34*** |
| (0.09) | (0.09) | (0.07) | (0.07) | |
| Ratio of intermediation cost to total assets (OICTA) | 0.25*** | 0.25*** | 0.43*** | 0.43*** |
| (0.09) | (0.09) | (0.08) | (0.08) | |
| Ratio of operating profits to total assets (OPPTA) | 0.31*** | 0.31*** | 0.38*** | 0.38*** |
| (0.06) | (0.06) | (0.05) | (0.05) | |
| Gross domestic product growth (GDPGR) | −0.13*** | −0.13*** | −0.05*** | −0.05*** |
| (0.02) | (0.02) | (0.02) | (0.02) | |
| Inflation (INFL) | 0.23*** | 0.23*** | −0.07*** | −0.07*** |
| (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Cash reserve ratio (CRR) | −0.52*** | −0.52*** | −0.22*** | −0.22*** |
| (0.03) | (0.03) | (0.03) | (0.03) | |
| Statutory liquidity ratio (SLR) | −0.05 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 |
| (0.04) | (0.04) | (0.03) | (0.03) | |
| Repo rate (RR) | −0.31*** | −0.31*** | −0.12*** | −0.12*** |
| (0.02) | (0.02) | (0.02) | (0.02) | |
| Bank rate (BR) | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| (0.03) | (0.03) | (0.02) | (0.02) | |
| Treasury bill rate (TBR) | 0.32*** | 0.32*** | 0.08*** | 0.08*** |
| (0.03) | (0.03) | (0.03) | (0.03) | |
| Intercept | 10.35*** | 10.35*** | 8.35*** | 8.35*** |
| (0.97) | (0.97) | (0.94) | (0.94) | |
| 0.83 | 0.83 | 0.59 | 0.59 | |
| Adj | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| 0.0409 | 0.0409 | 0.03 | ||
| D-W stat | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| VIF range | 1.22–4.72 | 1.22–4.72 | 1.19–4.80 | |
| Fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Cross sections | 65 | 65 | 65 | 65 |
| Observations | 715 | 715 | 715 | 715 |
Note(s): We report the results of the Panel Regression (linear) models of the baseline specification using the bank return measures (ROADV and ROI) as the dependent variables. We present the results of the Panel Least Squares (PLS) with fixed effects (cross-section weights (PCSE) standard errors and covariance) and Generalized Methods of Moments (GMM) with the coefficient values marked with significance levels in the first row, followed by the standard errors (in parenthesis) in the second row. Asterisks *** and ** indicate significance levels at 1 and 5%, respectively
Source(s): Authors’ own calculations
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