Results of one-step-ahead forecasting for Jiuzhaigou
| Period | Pre-COVID-19 | Post-COVID-19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Measure | MAE | MAPE | RMSE | MAE | MAPE | RMSE |
| MGASF–CNN–LSTM | 569.605 | 0.059 | 2499.107 | 800.075 | 0.297 | 2723.166 |
| MGADF–CNN–LSTM | 572.295 | 0.059 | 2509.339 | 796.016 | 0.255 | 2556.829 |
| MMTF–CNN–LSTM | 569.212 | 0.057 | 2497.596 | 816.137 | 0.462 | 2804.063 |
| MRP–CNN–LSTM | 569.057 | 0.055 | 2495.883 | 772.264 | 0.203 | 2553.734 |
| GASF–CNN–LSTM | 5080.788 | 2.127 | 7458.790 | 5489.8581 | 2.727 | 7320.211 |
| GADF–CNN–LSTM | 4987.968 | 2.093 | 7457.710 | 5630.6738 | 2.910 | 7504.604 |
| MTF–CNN–LSTM | 5249.359 | 2.232 | 7504.604 | 5646.3492 | 3.025 | 7531.272 |
| RP–CNN–LSTM | 5167.184 | 2.195 | 7501.466 | 5599.9146 | 2.901 | 7457.710 |
| ARIMA | 6527.507 | 12.243 | 8208.974 | 6687.443 | 14.430 | 8465.265 |
| Holt–Winters | 6530.087 | 13.456 | 8236.313 | 6838.233 | 15.200 | 8550.719 |
| OLS | 1844.708 | 0.509 | 2869.429 | 2396.440 | 0.814 | 3543.890 |
| KNN | 1381.840 | 0.471 | 2816.723 | 1943.539 | 0.540 | 2922.243 |
| XG-BOOST | 1374.348 | 0.467 | 2812.333 | 1933.859 | 0.517 | 2871.385 |
| Period | Pre-COVID-19 | Post-COVID-19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Measure | MAE | MAPE | RMSE | MAE | MAPE | RMSE |
| MGASF–CNN–LSTM | 569.605 | 0.059 | 2499.107 | 800.075 | 0.297 | 2723.166 |
| MGADF–CNN–LSTM | 572.295 | 0.059 | 2509.339 | 796.016 | 0.255 | 2556.829 |
| MMTF–CNN–LSTM | 569.212 | 0.057 | 2497.596 | 816.137 | 0.462 | 2804.063 |
| MRP–CNN–LSTM | 569.057 | 0.055 | 2495.883 | 772.264 | 0.203 | 2553.734 |
| GASF–CNN–LSTM | 5080.788 | 2.127 | 7458.790 | 5489.8581 | 2.727 | 7320.211 |
| GADF–CNN–LSTM | 4987.968 | 2.093 | 7457.710 | 5630.6738 | 2.910 | 7504.604 |
| MTF–CNN–LSTM | 5249.359 | 2.232 | 7504.604 | 5646.3492 | 3.025 | 7531.272 |
| RP–CNN–LSTM | 5167.184 | 2.195 | 7501.466 | 5599.9146 | 2.901 | 7457.710 |
| ARIMA | 6527.507 | 12.243 | 8208.974 | 6687.443 | 14.430 | 8465.265 |
| Holt–Winters | 6530.087 | 13.456 | 8236.313 | 6838.233 | 15.200 | 8550.719 |
| OLS | 1844.708 | 0.509 | 2869.429 | 2396.440 | 0.814 | 3543.890 |
| KNN | 1381.840 | 0.471 | 2816.723 | 1943.539 | 0.540 | 2922.243 |
| XG-BOOST | 1374.348 | 0.467 | 2812.333 | 1933.859 | 0.517 | 2871.385 |
Source(s): Authors’ own work
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