Results of multi-step-ahead forecasting for Jiuzhaigou
| Period | Pre-COVID-19 | Post-COVID-19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Measure | MAE | MAPE | RMSE | MAE | MAPE | RMSE |
| MGASF–CNN–LSTM | 552.543 | 0.053 | 2119.660 | 809.310 | 0.341 | 2756.526 |
| MGADF–CNN–LSTM | 576.858 | 0.065 | 2516.128 | 799.318 | 0.257 | 2660.791 |
| MMTF–CNN–LSTM | 554.754 | 0.054 | 2229.129 | 811.480 | 0.461 | 2761.109 |
| MRP–CNN–LSTM | 567.366 | 0.054 | 2461.164 | 789.101 | 0.214 | 2555.037 |
| GASF–CNN–LSTM | 4977.555 | 1.981 | 7375.662 | 5450.734 | 2.718 | 7286.421 |
| GADF–CNN–LSTM | 4805.180 | 1.917 | 7286.421 | 5611.4971 | 2.909 | 7501.466 |
| MTF–CNN–LSTM | 4941.158 | 1.956 | 7320.211 | 5647.1357 | 3.084 | 7535.970 |
| RP–CNN–LSTM | 4965.838 | 1.958 | 7365.759 | 5529.1962 | 2.893 | 7375.662 |
| ARIMA | 6549.528 | 14.430 | 8325.730 | 6688.989 | 14.508 | 8480.441 |
| Holt–Winters | 6537.387 | 14.313 | 8305.170 | 6902.982 | 15.711 | 8599.571 |
| OLS | 2148.602 | 0.802 | 3459.231 | 2786.447 | 1.088 | 3776.166 |
| KNN | 1465.074 | 0.493 | 2832.017 | 1952.037 | 0.541 | 2954.167 |
| XG-BOOST | 1502.098 | 0.507 | 2861.728 | 2028.506 | 0.556 | 3268.129 |
| Period | Pre-COVID-19 | Post-COVID-19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Measure | MAE | MAPE | RMSE | MAE | MAPE | RMSE |
| MGASF–CNN–LSTM | 552.543 | 0.053 | 2119.660 | 809.310 | 0.341 | 2756.526 |
| MGADF–CNN–LSTM | 576.858 | 0.065 | 2516.128 | 799.318 | 0.257 | 2660.791 |
| MMTF–CNN–LSTM | 554.754 | 0.054 | 2229.129 | 811.480 | 0.461 | 2761.109 |
| MRP–CNN–LSTM | 567.366 | 0.054 | 2461.164 | 789.101 | 0.214 | 2555.037 |
| GASF–CNN–LSTM | 4977.555 | 1.981 | 7375.662 | 5450.734 | 2.718 | 7286.421 |
| GADF–CNN–LSTM | 4805.180 | 1.917 | 7286.421 | 5611.4971 | 2.909 | 7501.466 |
| MTF–CNN–LSTM | 4941.158 | 1.956 | 7320.211 | 5647.1357 | 3.084 | 7535.970 |
| RP–CNN–LSTM | 4965.838 | 1.958 | 7365.759 | 5529.1962 | 2.893 | 7375.662 |
| ARIMA | 6549.528 | 14.430 | 8325.730 | 6688.989 | 14.508 | 8480.441 |
| Holt–Winters | 6537.387 | 14.313 | 8305.170 | 6902.982 | 15.711 | 8599.571 |
| OLS | 2148.602 | 0.802 | 3459.231 | 2786.447 | 1.088 | 3776.166 |
| KNN | 1465.074 | 0.493 | 2832.017 | 1952.037 | 0.541 | 2954.167 |
| XG-BOOST | 1502.098 | 0.507 | 2861.728 | 2028.506 | 0.556 | 3268.129 |
Source(s): Authors’ own work
Sharing content requires targeting cookies to be enabled. Please update your cookie preferences to use this feature.