Baseline regression
| Variables | GECPER | GECOTL | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model I | Model II | Model I | Model II | |
| Coeff. | Coeff. | Coeff. | Coeff. | |
| (SE) | (SE) | (SE) | (SE) | |
| LFSI | −0.036*** | −0.036*** | −0.014*** | −0.014*** |
| −0.006 | −0.006 | −0.004 | −0.004 | |
| Household controls | No | Yes | No | Yes |
| City, month and year fixed-effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Observations | 275,764 | 275,763 | 275,764 | 275,763 |
| Variables | GECPER | GECOTL | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model I | Model II | Model I | Model II | |
| Coeff. | Coeff. | Coeff. | Coeff. | |
| (SE) | (SE) | (SE) | (SE) | |
| LFSI | −0.036*** | −0.036*** | −0.014*** | −0.014*** |
| −0.006 | −0.006 | −0.004 | −0.004 | |
| Household controls | No | Yes | No | Yes |
| City, month and year fixed-effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Observations | 275,764 | 275,763 | 275,764 | 275,763 |
Note(s): This table presents the impact of financial stress on general economic confidence. GECPER = 1 if the respondent’s perception towards their present general economic condition compared to a year ago has improved, 0 if it remained the same and −1 if it worsened. Similarly, GECOTL = 1 if the respondent’s outlook on the future general economic condition a year ahead will improve, 0 if it will remain the same and −1 if it will worsen. LFSI is the first lag of the financial stress index. Standard errors clustered at the city level are reported in parentheses. *, ** and *** indicate significance at the 10, 5 and 1%, respectively
Source(s): Authors’ own work
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