Portfolio construction and testing alpha
| Model | Alpha | Benchmark | N | Adjusted R2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panel A. Benchmark: GSCI index | ||||
| SESTM | 0.008*** | −0.237*** | 926 | 0.018 |
| (12.132) | (−4.192) | |||
| HIV | −0.005*** | 0.820*** | 926 | 0.205 |
| (−8.611) | (−15.486) | |||
| LM | −0.006*** | −0.882*** | 926 | 0.245 |
| (−10.683) | (−17.363) | |||
| VADER | −0.005*** | −0.228*** | 926 | 0.015 |
| (−7.703) | (−3.864) | |||
| Panel B. Benchmark: USO ETF | ||||
| SESTM | 0.008*** | −0.157*** | 926 | 0.024 |
| (12.146) | (−4.853) | |||
| HIV | −0.005*** | 0.475*** | 926 | 0.207 |
| (−8.513) | (15.563) | |||
| LM | −0.007*** | −0.492*** | 926 | 0.231 |
| (−10.701) | (−16.663) | |||
| VADER | −0.005*** | −0.133*** | 926 | 0.015 |
| (−7.698) | (−3.926) | |||
| Panel C. Benchmark: USL ETF | ||||
| SESTM | 0.008*** | −0.192*** | 926 | 0.026 |
| (12.211) | (−5.116) | |||
| HIV | −0.005*** | 0.513*** | 926 | 0.179 |
| (−8.494) | (14.245) | |||
| LM | −0.006*** | −0.572*** | 926 | 0.231 |
| (−10.550) | (−16.700) | |||
| VADER | −0.005*** | −0.163*** | 926 | 0.017 |
| (−7.731) | (−4.158) | |||
| Model | Alpha | Benchmark | Adjusted | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panel A. Benchmark: GSCI index | ||||
| SESTM | 0.008*** | −0.237*** | 926 | 0.018 |
| (12.132) | (−4.192) | |||
| HIV | −0.005*** | 0.820*** | 926 | 0.205 |
| (−8.611) | (−15.486) | |||
| LM | −0.006*** | −0.882*** | 926 | 0.245 |
| (−10.683) | (−17.363) | |||
| VADER | −0.005*** | −0.228*** | 926 | 0.015 |
| (−7.703) | (−3.864) | |||
| Panel B. Benchmark: USO ETF | ||||
| SESTM | 0.008*** | −0.157*** | 926 | 0.024 |
| (12.146) | (−4.853) | |||
| HIV | −0.005*** | 0.475*** | 926 | 0.207 |
| (−8.513) | (15.563) | |||
| LM | −0.007*** | −0.492*** | 926 | 0.231 |
| (−10.701) | (−16.663) | |||
| VADER | −0.005*** | −0.133*** | 926 | 0.015 |
| (−7.698) | (−3.926) | |||
| Panel C. Benchmark: USL ETF | ||||
| SESTM | 0.008*** | −0.192*** | 926 | 0.026 |
| (12.211) | (−5.116) | |||
| HIV | −0.005*** | 0.513*** | 926 | 0.179 |
| (−8.494) | (14.245) | |||
| LM | −0.006*** | −0.572*** | 926 | 0.231 |
| (−10.550) | (−16.700) | |||
| VADER | −0.005*** | −0.163*** | 926 | 0.017 |
| (−7.731) | (−4.158) | |||
Note(s): This table presents the results of portfolio performance tests. Panel A reports the results using the GSCI index as the benchmark return, Panel B presents results using the USO ETF as the benchmark, and Panel C provides results using the USL ETF as the benchmark. The significance of alphas is calculated for various sentiment scores calculated from the SESTM model, HIV dictionary, LM dictionary, and VADER algorithm. t-statistics are in parentheses. *, **, and *** denote significance at the 10, 5, and 1% level, respectively
Source(s): Authors’ own work
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