Table 3

NBB Estimates of the Impact of Policy Scenarios on Pension Spending (Deviation from baseline, in percent of GDP) 1/

by 2030by 2050by 2070
Coverage ratio towards euro area average-1.1-0.6-0.5
Average pension towards euro area average-0.3-2.0-2.1
Employment rate increases to 80 percent-1.4-1.6-1.7
Higher productivity by 0.2 percentage point-0.1-0.7-1.2

1/ Baseline scenario of the 2021 Ageing Report (EC, 2021).

Source: Deroose et al. (2023).

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