Benefit and cost of carbon additionality from the modeled 62,742-ha working forest during a 20-year crediting period
| Timber harvest (1,000 m3) | Forest stock (1,000 m3) | Marginal growth (1,000 m3) | Carbon cash flow (million $) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | BSL | IFM10 | IFM5 | BSL | IFM10 | IFM5 | BSL | IFM10 | IFM5 | BSL | IFM10 | IFM5 |
| 2023 | 18730.0 | 18730.0 | 18730.0 | |||||||||
| 2024 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 18560.3 | 18785.4 | 18641.3 | −169.7 | 55.4 | −88.7 | −4.7 | −2.8 | −4.1 |
| 2025 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 18422.6 | 18869.7 | 18585.8 | −137.7 | 84.2 | −55.6 | −4.6 | −2.7 | −3.9 |
| 2026 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 18294.0 | 18962.8 | 18544.9 | −128.5 | 93.1 | −40.9 | −4.5 | −2.6 | −3.8 |
| 2027 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 18164.3 | 19059.2 | 18505.0 | −129.8 | 96.4 | −39.9 | −4.5 | −2.6 | −3.8 |
| 2028 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 18029.9 | 19160.5 | 18464.7 | −134.3 | 101.3 | −40.3 | −4.5 | −2.6 | −3.8 |
| 2029 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 17884.7 | 19260.0 | 18418.0 | −145.3 | 99.5 | −46.7 | −4.6 | −2.6 | −3.8 |
| 2030 | 1233.4 | 897.2 | 1152.1 | 17729.6 | 19452.7 | 18356.9 | −155.0 | 192.7 | −61.1 | −4.7 | −1.8 | −3.9 |
| 2031 | 1233.4 | 897.2 | 1152.1 | 17558.2 | 19643.0 | 18279.3 | −171.5 | 190.3 | −77.6 | −4.7 | −1.8 | −4.0 |
| 2032 | 1233.4 | 897.2 | 1152.1 | 17437.0 | 19827.3 | 18244.6 | −121.2 | 184.3 | −34.7 | −4.5 | −1.8 | −3.8 |
| 2033 | 1233.4 | 897.2 | 1152.1 | 17258.5 | 19997.1 | 18162.7 | −178.5 | 169.8 | −81.9 | −4.8 | −1.9 | −4.0 |
| 2034 | 1233.4 | 897.2 | 1152.1 | 17070.7 | 20135.2 | 18059.4 | −187.8 | 138.1 | −103.3 | −4.8 | −2.1 | −4.1 |
| 2035 | 1233.4 | 897.2 | 1152.1 | 16876.6 | 20234.2 | 17944.6 | −194.1 | 99.0 | −114.8 | −4.9 | −2.3 | −4.2 |
| 2036 | 1233.4 | 897.2 | 1152.1 | 16658.7 | 203020 | 17818.6 | −218.0 | 67.8 | −125.9 | −5.0 | −2.5 | −4.3 |
| 2037 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 16432.6 | 20244.5 | 17665.6 | −226.0 | −57.5 | −153.1 | −5.0 | −3.4 | −4.4 |
| 2038 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 16182.8 | 20187.8 | 17516.4 | −249.8 | −56.7 | −149.2 | −5.2 | −3.4 | −4.4 |
| 2039 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 15963.1 | 20135.6 | 17363.9 | −219.7 | −52.2 | −152.5 | −5.0 | −3.4 | −44 |
| 2040 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 15743.0 | 20049.5 | 17206.8 | −220.1 | −86.1 | −157.2 | −5.0 | −3.6 | −4.4 |
| 2041 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 15519.4 | 19949.1 | 17048.2 | −223.6 | −100.4 | −158.6 | −5.0 | −3.6 | −4.4 |
| 2042 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 15293.0 | 19840.0 | 16882.9 | −226.4 | −109.1 | −165.3 | −5.0 | −3.7 | −4.5 |
| 2043 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 15061.3 | 19727.0 | 16714.5 | −231.7 | −113.0 | −168.4 | −5.1 | −3.7 | −4.5 |
| NPV (million $) | 339.7 | 258.9 | 316.9 | −59.3 | −33.0 | −50.6 | ||||||
| ΔNPV (million $) | 80.8 | 22.7 | 26.3 | 8.7 | ||||||||
| BCR | 0.33 | 0.38 | ||||||||||
| Timber harvest (1,000 m3) | Forest stock (1,000 m3) | Marginal growth (1,000 m3) | Carbon cash flow (million $) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | BSL | IFM10 | IFM5 | BSL | IFM10 | IFM5 | BSL | IFM10 | IFM5 | BSL | IFM10 | IFM5 |
| 2023 | 18730.0 | 18730.0 | 18730.0 | |||||||||
| 2024 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 18560.3 | 18785.4 | 18641.3 | −169.7 | 55.4 | −88.7 | −4.7 | −2.8 | −4.1 |
| 2025 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 18422.6 | 18869.7 | 18585.8 | −137.7 | 84.2 | −55.6 | −4.6 | −2.7 | −3.9 |
| 2026 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 18294.0 | 18962.8 | 18544.9 | −128.5 | 93.1 | −40.9 | −4.5 | −2.6 | −3.8 |
| 2027 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 18164.3 | 19059.2 | 18505.0 | −129.8 | 96.4 | −39.9 | −4.5 | −2.6 | −3.8 |
| 2028 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 18029.9 | 19160.5 | 18464.7 | −134.3 | 101.3 | −40.3 | −4.5 | −2.6 | −3.8 |
| 2029 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 17884.7 | 19260.0 | 18418.0 | −145.3 | 99.5 | −46.7 | −4.6 | −2.6 | −3.8 |
| 2030 | 1233.4 | 897.2 | 1152.1 | 17729.6 | 19452.7 | 18356.9 | −155.0 | 192.7 | −61.1 | −4.7 | −1.8 | −3.9 |
| 2031 | 1233.4 | 897.2 | 1152.1 | 17558.2 | 19643.0 | 18279.3 | −171.5 | 190.3 | −77.6 | −4.7 | −1.8 | −4.0 |
| 2032 | 1233.4 | 897.2 | 1152.1 | 17437.0 | 19827.3 | 18244.6 | −121.2 | 184.3 | −34.7 | −4.5 | −1.8 | −3.8 |
| 2033 | 1233.4 | 897.2 | 1152.1 | 17258.5 | 19997.1 | 18162.7 | −178.5 | 169.8 | −81.9 | −4.8 | −1.9 | −4.0 |
| 2034 | 1233.4 | 897.2 | 1152.1 | 17070.7 | 20135.2 | 18059.4 | −187.8 | 138.1 | −103.3 | −4.8 | −2.1 | −4.1 |
| 2035 | 1233.4 | 897.2 | 1152.1 | 16876.6 | 20234.2 | 17944.6 | −194.1 | 99.0 | −114.8 | −4.9 | −2.3 | −4.2 |
| 2036 | 1233.4 | 897.2 | 1152.1 | 16658.7 | 203020 | 17818.6 | −218.0 | 67.8 | −125.9 | −5.0 | −2.5 | −4.3 |
| 2037 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 16432.6 | 20244.5 | 17665.6 | −226.0 | −57.5 | −153.1 | −5.0 | −3.4 | −4.4 |
| 2038 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 16182.8 | 20187.8 | 17516.4 | −249.8 | −56.7 | −149.2 | −5.2 | −3.4 | −4.4 |
| 2039 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 15963.1 | 20135.6 | 17363.9 | −219.7 | −52.2 | −152.5 | −5.0 | −3.4 | −44 |
| 2040 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 15743.0 | 20049.5 | 17206.8 | −220.1 | −86.1 | −157.2 | −5.0 | −3.6 | −4.4 |
| 2041 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 15519.4 | 19949.1 | 17048.2 | −223.6 | −100.4 | −158.6 | −5.0 | −3.6 | −4.4 |
| 2042 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 15293.0 | 19840.0 | 16882.9 | −226.4 | −109.1 | −165.3 | −5.0 | −3.7 | −4.5 |
| 2043 | 1233.4 | 996.9 | 1152.1 | 15061.3 | 19727.0 | 16714.5 | −231.7 | −113.0 | −168.4 | −5.1 | −3.7 | −4.5 |
| NPV (million $) | 339.7 | 258.9 | 316.9 | −59.3 | −33.0 | −50.6 | ||||||
| ΔNPV (million $) | 80.8 | 22.7 | 26.3 | 8.7 | ||||||||
| BCR | 0.33 | 0.38 | ||||||||||
Note(s): BSL for the baseline scenario, IFM5 for the 5-year rotation extension scenario, IFM10 for the 10-year rotation extension scenario, NPV for net present value, and BCR for benefit-cost ratio. NPV is calculated using the economic data in Table 1
Source(s): Authors’ own creation
Sharing content requires targeting cookies to be enabled. Please update your cookie preferences to use this feature.