Model 2 regression results using liquid liabilities as a threshold variable [DV: CPI]
| (1b) | (2b) | (3b) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela | Congo | Angola | |||||||
| OLS without threshold | Regime 1 LL < 19.50 | Regime 2 LL > 19.50 | OLS without threshold | Regime1 LL < 7.53 | Regime 2 LL > 7.53 | OLS without threshold | Regime 1 LL < 10.32 | Regime 2 LL > 10.32 | |
| Constant | 4.41* (2.30) | 2.91* (1.40) | 3.02* (1.20) | −1.82* (0.88) | 2.60 (1.23) | −3.41* (1.62) | 1.89* (0.86) | 2.03* (0.69) | 1.39* (0.56) |
| GDP | 0.10* (0.05) | 0.08* (0.03) | 0.10* (0.03) | 0.03* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.06* (0.03) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.02* (0.01) |
| DC | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.08* (0.03) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.08* (0.02) | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.11* (0.05) | 0.14* (0.07) |
| INT | −0.02* (0.01) | −0.06* (0.02) | −0.08* (0.02) | −0.19* (0.06) | −0.12* (0.05) | −0.20* (0.09) | −0.02* (0.01) | −0.04* (0.02) | −0.06* (0.02) |
| TR | 0.03 * (0.01) | 0.05* (0.02) | 0.13* (0.06) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.08* (0.02) | 0.11* (0.03) | 0.03* (0.01) | 0.05* (0.02) | 0.08* (0.02) |
| R-sq | 0.63 | 0.79 | 0.69 | 0.72 | 0.82 | 0.86 | 0.94 | 0.85 | 0.98 |
| Heteroskedasticity test (p-value) | 0.49 | – | – | 0.63 | – | – | 0.52 | – | – |
| No. observation | 28 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 28 | 13 | 15 |
| (1b) | (2b) | (3b) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela | Congo | Angola | |||||||
| OLS without threshold | Regime 1 | Regime 2 | OLS without threshold | Regime1 | Regime 2 | OLS without threshold | Regime 1 | Regime 2 | |
| Constant | 4.41* (2.30) | 2.91* (1.40) | 3.02* (1.20) | −1.82* (0.88) | 2.60 (1.23) | −3.41* (1.62) | 1.89* (0.86) | 2.03* (0.69) | 1.39* (0.56) |
| 0.10* (0.05) | 0.08* (0.03) | 0.10* (0.03) | 0.03* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.06* (0.03) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.02* (0.01) | |
| 0.04* (0.02) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.08* (0.03) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.08* (0.02) | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.11* (0.05) | 0.14* (0.07) | |
| −0.02* (0.01) | −0.06* (0.02) | −0.08* (0.02) | −0.19* (0.06) | −0.12* (0.05) | −0.20* (0.09) | −0.02* (0.01) | −0.04* (0.02) | −0.06* (0.02) | |
| 0.03 * (0.01) | 0.05* (0.02) | 0.13* (0.06) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.08* (0.02) | 0.11* (0.03) | 0.03* (0.01) | 0.05* (0.02) | 0.08* (0.02) | |
| 0.63 | 0.79 | 0.69 | 0.72 | 0.82 | 0.86 | 0.94 | 0.85 | 0.98 | |
| Heteroskedasticity test ( | 0.49 | – | – | 0.63 | – | – | 0.52 | – | – |
| No. observation | 28 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 28 | 13 | 15 |
| (4b) | (5b) | (6b) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt | Argentina | Mozambique | |||||||
| OLS without threshold | Regime1 LL < 7.88 | Regime 2 LL > 7.88 | OLS without threshold | Regime 1 LL < 8.62 | Regime 2 LL > 8.62 | OLS without threshold | Regime 1 LL < 16.51 | Regime 2 LL > 16.51 | |
| Constant | 1.68 (1.32) | −2.12 (0.99) | −2.59 (1.40) | 2.14* (1.10) | 2.17 (1.5) | 1.56 (0.56) | 2.25* (0.87) | 2.13* (0.92) | 3.20 (1.20) |
| GDP | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.01) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.03* (0.01) | 0.05* (0.02) |
| DC | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.03* (0.01) | 0.08* (0.03) | 0.08* (0.02) | 0.10* (0.05) | 0.21* (0.09) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.08* (0.02) |
| INT | −0.07* (0.02) | −0.07* (0.02) | −0.16* (0.05) | −0.03* (0.01) | −0.03* (0.01) | −0.06* (0.03) | −0.06* (0.02) | −0.10* (0.04) | −0.19* (0.06) |
| TR | −0.02* (0.01) | −0.04* (0.02) | −0.06* (0.02) | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.05* (0.02) | −0.03* (0.01) | −0.06* (0.02) | −0.02* (0.01) |
| R-sq | 0.74 | 0.72 | 0.86 | 0.68 | 0.72 | 0.89 | 0.65 | 0.89 | 0.92 |
| Heteroskedasticity test (p-value) | 0.69 | – | – | 0.52 | – | – | 0.89 | – | – |
| No. observation | 28 | 17 | 11 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 28 | 18 | 7 |
| (4b) | (5b) | (6b) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt | Argentina | Mozambique | |||||||
| OLS without threshold | Regime1 | Regime 2 | OLS without threshold | Regime 1 | Regime 2 | OLS without threshold | Regime 1 | Regime 2 | |
| Constant | 1.68 (1.32) | −2.12 (0.99) | −2.59 (1.40) | 2.14* (1.10) | 2.17 (1.5) | 1.56 (0.56) | 2.25* (0.87) | 2.13* (0.92) | 3.20 (1.20) |
| 0.02* (0.01) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.01) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.03* (0.01) | 0.05* (0.02) | |
| 0.04* (0.02) | 0.03* (0.01) | 0.08* (0.03) | 0.08* (0.02) | 0.10* (0.05) | 0.21* (0.09) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.08* (0.02) | |
| −0.07* (0.02) | −0.07* (0.02) | −0.16* (0.05) | −0.03* (0.01) | −0.03* (0.01) | −0.06* (0.03) | −0.06* (0.02) | −0.10* (0.04) | −0.19* (0.06) | |
| −0.02* (0.01) | −0.04* (0.02) | −0.06* (0.02) | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.05* (0.02) | −0.03* (0.01) | −0.06* (0.02) | −0.02* (0.01) | |
| R-sq | 0.74 | 0.72 | 0.86 | 0.68 | 0.72 | 0.89 | 0.65 | 0.89 | 0.92 |
| Heteroskedasticity test ( | 0.69 | – | – | 0.52 | – | – | 0.89 | – | – |
| No. observation | 28 | 17 | 11 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 28 | 18 | 7 |
| (7b) | (8b) | (9b) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigeria | Yemen | Azerbaijan | |||||||
| OLS without threshold | Regime1 LL < 17.69 | Regime2 LL > 17.69 | OLS without threshold | Regime1 LL < 11.62 | Regime2 LL > 11.62 | OLS without threshold | Regime1 LL < 13.69 | Regime2 LL > 13.69 | |
| Constant | 4.32* (2.25) | 2.66* (1.23) | 2.15 (1.20) | 2.17 (1.42) | 3.45* (2.55) | 2.50* (1.25) | 1.59 (0.96) | 2.52* (0.85) | 2.33* (1.56) |
| GDP | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.03* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.06* (0.03) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.03* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.02) |
| DC | 0.03* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.10* (0.05) | 0.09* (0.04) | 0.03* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.11* (0.05) | 0.08* (0.02) | 0.12* (0.05) |
| INT | −0.06* (0.02) | −0.02* (0.01) | −0.04* (0.01) | −0.10* (0.05) | −0.08* (0.03) | 0.10* (0.03) | −0.03* (0.01) | −0.06* (0.03) | −0.08* (0.02) |
| TR | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.11* (0.04) | 0.15* (0.05) | 0.03* (0.01) | 0.03* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.01) | 0.09* (0.04) | 0.05* (0.02) | 0.04* (0.02) |
| R-sq | 0.82 | 0.89 | 0.86 | 0.63 | 0.79 | 0.69 | 0.53 | 0.48 | 0.79 |
| Heteroskedasticity test (p-value) | 0.59 | – | – | 0.56 | – | – | 0.48 | – | – |
| No. observation | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 28 | 12 | 16 |
| (7b) | (8b) | (9b) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigeria | Yemen | Azerbaijan | |||||||
| OLS without threshold | Regime1 | Regime2 | OLS without threshold | Regime1 | Regime2 | OLS without threshold | Regime1 | Regime2 | |
| Constant | 4.32* (2.25) | 2.66* (1.23) | 2.15 (1.20) | 2.17 (1.42) | 3.45* (2.55) | 2.50* (1.25) | 1.59 (0.96) | 2.52* (0.85) | 2.33* (1.56) |
| 0.02* (0.01) | 0.03* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.06* (0.03) | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.03* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.02) | |
| 0.03* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.10* (0.05) | 0.09* (0.04) | 0.03* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.02) | 0.11* (0.05) | 0.08* (0.02) | 0.12* (0.05) | |
| −0.06* (0.02) | −0.02* (0.01) | −0.04* (0.01) | −0.10* (0.05) | −0.08* (0.03) | 0.10* (0.03) | −0.03* (0.01) | −0.06* (0.03) | −0.08* (0.02) | |
| 0.02* (0.01) | 0.11* (0.04) | 0.15* (0.05) | 0.03* (0.01) | 0.03* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.01) | 0.09* (0.04) | 0.05* (0.02) | 0.04* (0.02) | |
| R-sq | 0.82 | 0.89 | 0.86 | 0.63 | 0.79 | 0.69 | 0.53 | 0.48 | 0.79 |
| Heteroskedasticity test ( | 0.59 | – | – | 0.56 | – | – | 0.48 | – | – |
| No. observation | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 28 | 12 | 16 |
| (10b) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ghana | |||
| OLS without threshold | Regime1 LL < 13.00 | Regime 2 LL > 13.00 | |
| Constant | 2.26* (1.20) | 1.86 (0.82) | 2.15* (0.89) |
| GDP | 0.02* (0.01) | 0.05* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.01) |
| DC | 0.09* (0.04) | 0.02* (0.01) | −0.06* (0.03) |
| INT | 0.03* (0.01) | 0.05* (0.02) | 0.11* (0.04) |
| TR | −0.04* (0.02) | −0.08* (0.02) | −0.09* (0.04) |
| R-sq | 0.57 | 0.92 | 0.98 |
| Heteroskedasticity test (p-value) | 0.86 | – | – |
| No. observation | 28 | 18 | 10 |
| (10b) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ghana | |||
| OLS without threshold | Regime1 | Regime 2 | |
| Constant | 2.26* (1.20) | 1.86 (0.82) | 2.15* (0.89) |
| 0.02* (0.01) | 0.05* (0.01) | 0.04* (0.01) | |
| 0.09* (0.04) | 0.02* (0.01) | −0.06* (0.03) | |
| 0.03* (0.01) | 0.05* (0.02) | 0.11* (0.04) | |
| −0.04* (0.02) | −0.08* (0.02) | −0.09* (0.04) | |
| 0.57 | 0.92 | 0.98 | |
| Heteroskedasticity test ( | 0.86 | – | – |
| No. observation | 28 | 18 | 10 |
Note(s): The standard errors are reported in parentheses (white corrected for heteroskedaticity). The results correspond to the trimming percentage of 15%. Asterisks * denote significance of at least a 10% critical value