Profitability of time-series momentum strategies
| H = | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RET-RF | 1.267% | 1.357% | 0.984% | 0.710% | 0.878% |
| (2.371**) | (2.650**) | (2.112**) | (1.632*) | (2.052**) | |
| CAPM α | 1.300% | 1.397% | 1.014% | 0.727% | 0.901% |
| (2.450**) | (2.666**) | (2.012**) | (1.673*) | (1.819*) | |
| FF3 α | 1.531% | 1.572% | 1.197% | 0.905% | 1.056% |
| (3.238**) | (3.342***) | (2.702**) | (2.227**) | (2.466**) | |
| Skewness | −0.796 | −0.558 | −0.377 | −0.463 | −0.536 |
| Kurtosis | 2.081 | 1.989 | 1.901 | 1.682 | 2.084 |
| VaR (5%) | −14.085% | −13.182% | −12.539% | −12.797% | −12.530% |
| CVaR (95%) | −22.610% | −21.346% | −19.815% | −19.801% | −20.248% |
| Adjusted Sharpe ratio | 0.338 | 0.393 | 0.270 | 0.160 | 0.238 |
| Calmer ratio | 0.252 | 0.280 | 0.278 | 0.156 | 0.266 |
| 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 12 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RET-RF | 1.267% | 1.357% | 0.984% | 0.710% | 0.878% |
| (2.371**) | (2.650**) | (2.112**) | (1.632*) | (2.052**) | |
| CAPM | 1.300% | 1.397% | 1.014% | 0.727% | 0.901% |
| (2.450**) | (2.666**) | (2.012**) | (1.673*) | (1.819*) | |
| FF3 | 1.531% | 1.572% | 1.197% | 0.905% | 1.056% |
| (3.238**) | (3.342***) | (2.702**) | (2.227**) | (2.466**) | |
| Skewness | −0.796 | −0.558 | −0.377 | −0.463 | −0.536 |
| Kurtosis | 2.081 | 1.989 | 1.901 | 1.682 | 2.084 |
| VaR (5%) | −14.085% | −13.182% | −12.539% | −12.797% | −12.530% |
| CVaR (95%) | −22.610% | −21.346% | −19.815% | −19.801% | −20.248% |
| Adjusted Sharpe ratio | 0.338 | 0.393 | 0.270 | 0.160 | 0.238 |
| Calmer ratio | 0.252 | 0.280 | 0.278 | 0.156 | 0.266 |
Note(s): Table 1 reports the average monthly returns of absolute momentum strategies along with higher-order moments and downside risk measures. Rf stands for riskless rate, and H denotes various holding periods. CAPM and FF3 (Fama–French three-factor model) alphas are computed by regressing relative momentum payoffs (minus riskless rate) against the payoffs of market, size and value factors. The study takes the help of the asterisk symbol to represent the significant relative momentum returns. ***, ** and * represents significance at 1%, 5% and 10% levels
Source(s): Own elaboration
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