Table 2.

The need for flood inundation modelling research in the UK

Environmental Agency strategy section No.FunctionRequirements from inundation modellingResearch needs
2.2Regulation  
 
  • – vulnerability of proposed developments

  • – impact of proposed development on other areas

  • – effectiveness of mitigation measures

  • – predicted flood extent

  • – reduction in attenuation from loss of floodplain storage volume

  • – predicting effect of mitigation measures including embankments, walls and flood storage areas

  • – improved inundation prediction for urban areas

2.3Flood warning  
 
  • – real-time forecasting of river levels

  • – off-line modelling to inform preparation of flood

  • response plans

  • – flood extents

  • – safe evacuation routes (depth and velocity prediction)

  • – control of flood extents through human intervention

  • – robust and rapid (< 20 minutes) flood inundation prediction coupled to uncertainty analysis

  • – simulation of floodplain flooding and drying at a level of detail sufficient to assess usability of access and evacuation routes

2.4Strategic planning  
 
  • – national, catchment and subcatchment scale assessment of flood risk

  • – flood mapping

  • – compliance with WFD

  • – flood depths/extents for economic analysis

  • – flood extents suitable for ‘flood maps'

  • – flood hazard maps (velocity and depth, ‘speed’ of inundation)

  • – flood extent and frequency over long periods

  • – verification of existing methods for catchment and sub-catchment modelling

  • – for ‘probabilistic analysis’ the need is for robust and very rapid method (< 1 minute)

  • – flood depths within buildings

  • – methods for simulation of long time periods (decades)

2.5Flood defence operations  
 
  • – criticality of trash screens and the operation of sluices and pumping stations

  • – flood extent and depth predictions that include influence of critical elements in operations

  • – enhanced detail of inundation prediction for urban areas

  • – uncertainty analysis methods

2.6Flood defence improvements  
 
  • – economic appraisal of scheme

  • – developing the design

  • – understanding residual risk

  • – flood extent and depth predictions that are sensitive to small-scale interventions

  • – improved inundation methods for urban areas

  • – uncertainty analysis methods

 Cross-cutting 
  • – framework for data transfer

  • – improved DEM data (both for model building and for extent mapping)

  • – improved roughness (value and spatial distribution) data

  • – improved calibration/validation data

  • – guidance on selection of appropriate modelling techniques and grid/time steps

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