The need for flood inundation modelling research in the UK
| Environmental Agency strategy section No. | Function | Requirements from inundation modelling | Research needs |
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| 2.2 | Regulation | ||
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| 2.3 | Flood warning | ||
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| 2.4 | Strategic planning | ||
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| 2.5 | Flood defence operations | ||
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| 2.6 | Flood defence improvements | ||
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| Cross-cutting |
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| Environmental Agency strategy section No. | Function | Requirements from inundation modelling | Research needs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.2 | Regulation | ||
– vulnerability of proposed developments – impact of proposed development on other areas – effectiveness of mitigation measures | – predicted flood extent – reduction in attenuation from loss of floodplain storage volume – predicting effect of mitigation measures including embankments, walls and flood storage areas | – improved inundation prediction for urban areas | |
| 2.3 | Flood warning | ||
– real-time forecasting of river levels – off-line modelling to inform preparation of flood response plans | – flood extents – safe evacuation routes (depth and velocity prediction) – control of flood extents through human intervention | – robust and rapid (< 20 minutes) flood inundation prediction coupled to uncertainty analysis – simulation of floodplain flooding and drying at a level of detail sufficient to assess usability of access and evacuation routes | |
| 2.4 | Strategic planning | ||
– national, catchment and subcatchment scale assessment of flood risk – flood mapping – compliance with WFD | – flood depths/extents for economic analysis – flood extents suitable for ‘flood maps' – flood hazard maps (velocity and depth, ‘speed’ of inundation) – flood extent and frequency over long periods | – verification of existing methods for catchment and sub-catchment modelling – for ‘probabilistic analysis’ the need is for robust and very rapid method (< 1 minute) – flood depths within buildings – methods for simulation of long time periods (decades) | |
| 2.5 | Flood defence operations | ||
– criticality of trash screens and the operation of sluices and pumping stations | – flood extent and depth predictions that include influence of critical elements in operations | – enhanced detail of inundation prediction for urban areas – uncertainty analysis methods | |
| 2.6 | Flood defence improvements | ||
– economic appraisal of scheme – developing the design – understanding residual risk | – flood extent and depth predictions that are sensitive to small-scale interventions | – improved inundation methods for urban areas – uncertainty analysis methods | |
| Cross-cutting | – framework for data transfer – improved DEM data (both for model building and for extent mapping) – improved roughness (value and spatial distribution) data – improved calibration/validation data – guidance on selection of appropriate modelling techniques and grid/time steps |