TableĀ 2

Key variables specification

NameTypeDescription
InfectedStrategic resourceThis represents the stock of people infected by COVID-19. Data to initialize the variable (and compare behavior) gained from the Ministry of Health website
IC hospStrategic resourceThe number of people infected and hospitalized in Intensive Care (IC) units. Data to initialize the variable (and compare behavior) gained from the Ministry of Health website
VulnerableStrategic resourceThe stock of healthy people, non-vaccinated, who can be infected. Variable initialized as 0, since the vaccination campaign started at the beginning of the period considered. Data to compare behavior obtained from government open data
VaccinatedStrategic resourceThe stock of people vaccinated. Variable initialized as 0, since the vaccination campaign started at the beginning of the period considered. Data to compare behavior obtained from government open data
Hub & HRStrategic resourceThis variable represents the health system's strategic resources consisting of the number of vaccination hubs and human resources recruited or assigned to the vaccination campaign. In the full running model hubs and staff are split into two stock variables. Data gained from the Lazio health system
Comm. LevelStrategic resourceThis is a stock variable representing the communication level of the vaccination campaign (initialized through Laboratorio MeS and Agenas (2021) data)
Intensive carePerformance DriverThis variable is computed as the ratio between the stock of people hospitalized in intensive care departments and the intensive care beds available. A higher value of this indicator brings to the adoption of restriction policies to limit contact between people with a consequent effect on the economic activity and productivity of the region
VaccinationPerformance driverThis driver compares the number of people fully vaccinated with the number of vulnerable people. Together with the production one, this driver is related to the number of hubs activated to vaccinate the population
ProductionPerformance driverThis variable focuses on the ability of the pharmaceutical providers to respond to the vaccine demand computed as the population of vulnerable people. It is the ratio between the vaccines available and the vulnerable population and represents the production capacity constraint of the vaccination campaign
AccessibilityPerformance driverIt measures the adequacy of the organizational structure to perform a successful vaccination campaign. It directly impacts the accessibility of vaccines for the population in terms of availability and capillarity of the distribution network
CommunicationPerformance driverThis driver measures the communication's effectiveness that incentivizes people to accept vaccination by comparing the actual communication level with the desired one
InfectionEnd resultThis variable measures the infection rate and mainly depends on the vaccination campaign results and the restriction policies
Chg in hub & HREnd resultThis result portrays the change in the strategic organizational resources (hubs and human resources) and depends on the magnitude of the pandemic
ImmunizationEnd resultThis rate represents the flow of vaccines delivered to the vulnerable population, which is the direct result of the vaccination campaign

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