Table 1

The four climate products used in the study

Product nameAcronymNo. of membersReferencesSourcePeriodClimate scenarioSpatial resolutionTemporal resolutionGrid squares usedMethodUncertainty sampled
Hadley Centre Regional Climate Model HadRM3 PPERCM11Murphy et al. (2010) The UK Met Office Hadley Centre1950–2099Historical and medium (SRES A1B) emissions scenario25 km gridDaily3Dynamic downscaling of a GCM with simplified ocean modelRegional atmospheric and land processes; different GCM boundary conditions
Spatially Coherent Projections of UKCP09SCP11Sexton et al. (2010)Similar to UKCP09Time slices of 2020s–2080s4 SRES scenarios25 km gridAbsolute daily values/monthly change factors3Linear scaling of the RCM data based on the changes in global temperature from the GCM resultsGlobal temperature changes from emission scenario, carbon cycle, sulfur cycle and ocean physics
FF Project – Statistically Downscaled HadRM3FF11Prudhomme et al. (2012) The Centre for Ecology and Hydrology1950–2069Historical and medium (SRES A1B) emission scenario1 km gridDaily29Statistically downscaled RCM data based on historical 1 km gridded dataSame as RCM’s, bias corrected to a local spatial scale
UK Climate Projections 2009 (Land Projections)UKCP0910 000Murphy et al. (2010) The UK Met Office, UK Climate Impacts Programme, British Atmospheric Data Centre, University of East Anglia, Newcastle UniversityTime slices of 2020s–2080s4 SRES scenarios25 km gridAbsolute/monthly change factor to be applied on the historical 1961–1990 baseline1Bayesian statistical framework drawing from ensembles of Met Office climate models and other GCMsStructural uncertainty using alternative climate models; emission scenarios; the carbon cycle, sulfur cycle and ocean physics

SRES, The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s Special Report on Emission Scenarios

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