The four climate products used in the study
| Product name | Acronym | No. of members | References | Source | Period | Climate scenario | Spatial resolution | Temporal resolution | Grid squares used | Method | Uncertainty sampled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hadley Centre Regional Climate Model HadRM3 PPE | RCM | 11 | Murphy et al. (2010) | The UK Met Office Hadley Centre | 1950–2099 | Historical and medium (SRES A1B) emissions scenario | 25 km grid | Daily | 3 | Dynamic downscaling of a GCM with simplified ocean model | Regional atmospheric and land processes; different GCM boundary conditions |
| Spatially Coherent Projections of UKCP09 | SCP | 11 | Sexton et al. (2010) | Similar to UKCP09 | Time slices of 2020s–2080s | 4 SRES scenarios | 25 km grid | Absolute daily values/monthly change factors | 3 | Linear scaling of the RCM data based on the changes in global temperature from the GCM results | Global temperature changes from emission scenario, carbon cycle, sulfur cycle and ocean physics |
| FF Project – Statistically Downscaled HadRM3 | FF | 11 | Prudhomme et al. (2012) | The Centre for Ecology and Hydrology | 1950–2069 | Historical and medium (SRES A1B) emission scenario | 1 km grid | Daily | 29 | Statistically downscaled RCM data based on historical 1 km gridded data | Same as RCM’s, bias corrected to a local spatial scale |
| UK Climate Projections 2009 (Land Projections) | UKCP09 | 10 000 | Murphy et al. (2010) | The UK Met Office, UK Climate Impacts Programme, British Atmospheric Data Centre, University of East Anglia, Newcastle University | Time slices of 2020s–2080s | 4 SRES scenarios | 25 km grid | Absolute/monthly change factor to be applied on the historical 1961–1990 baseline | 1 | Bayesian statistical framework drawing from ensembles of Met Office climate models and other GCMs | Structural uncertainty using alternative climate models; emission scenarios; the carbon cycle, sulfur cycle and ocean physics |
| Product name | Acronym | No. of members | References | Source | Period | Climate scenario | Spatial resolution | Temporal resolution | Grid squares used | Method | Uncertainty sampled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hadley Centre Regional Climate Model HadRM3 PPE | RCM | 11 | The UK Met Office Hadley Centre | 1950–2099 | Historical and medium (SRES A1B) emissions scenario | 25 km grid | Daily | 3 | Dynamic downscaling of a GCM with simplified ocean model | Regional atmospheric and land processes; different GCM boundary conditions | |
| Spatially Coherent Projections of UKCP09 | SCP | 11 | Sexton | Similar to UKCP09 | Time slices of 2020s–2080s | 4 SRES scenarios | 25 km grid | Absolute daily values/monthly change factors | 3 | Linear scaling of the RCM data based on the changes in global temperature from the GCM results | Global temperature changes from emission scenario, carbon cycle, sulfur cycle and ocean physics |
| FF Project – Statistically Downscaled HadRM3 | FF | 11 | The Centre for Ecology and Hydrology | 1950–2069 | Historical and medium (SRES A1B) emission scenario | 1 km grid | Daily | 29 | Statistically downscaled RCM data based on historical 1 km gridded data | Same as RCM’s, bias corrected to a local spatial scale | |
| UK Climate Projections 2009 (Land Projections) | UKCP09 | 10 000 | The UK Met Office, UK Climate Impacts Programme, British Atmospheric Data Centre, University of East Anglia, Newcastle University | Time slices of 2020s–2080s | 4 SRES scenarios | 25 km grid | Absolute/monthly change factor to be applied on the historical 1961–1990 baseline | 1 | Bayesian statistical framework drawing from ensembles of Met Office climate models and other GCMs | Structural uncertainty using alternative climate models; emission scenarios; the carbon cycle, sulfur cycle and ocean physics |
SRES, The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s Special Report on Emission Scenarios
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