Results of logistic regression and system GMM with alternative forex exposure specifications
| Panel A. Logistic regressions | Panel B. System GMM | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | Model I | Model II | Model III | Model IV | Model V | Variables | Model I | Model II | Model IV |
| FS Ratio | 0.025 *** (0.002) 1.025 | FS Ratio | 0.00004*** (0.000) | ||||||
| LnTFCF | 0.197*** (0.017) 1.218 | LnTFCF | 0.00031*** (0.000) | ||||||
| TFCF/TA | 2.244*** (0.322) 9.435 | ||||||||
| LnNFCF | 0.173*** (0.015) 1.189 | LnNFCF | 0.00026*** (0.000) | ||||||
| NFCF/TA | 3.013*** (0.556) 20.344 | NFCF/TA | |||||||
| NV/TA(−1) | 0.702*** (0.005) | 0.677*** (0.006) | 0.686*** (0.006) | ||||||
| Diagnostic tests: | |||||||||
| Hosmer–Lemeshow | 0.120 | 0.312 | 0.158 | 0.279 | 0.154 | No. of Instruments | 95 | 95 | 95 |
| AUC-ROC curve | 0.8172 | 0.8236 | 0.7811 | 0.8159 | 0.7769 | No. of Groups | 250 | 250 | 250 |
| Pseudo R2 | 0.2275 | 0.2469 | 0.1877 | 0.2332 | 0.1805 | AR2 | 0.769 | 0.771 | 0.770 |
| Likelihood Ratio (p-value) | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | Hansen test | 0.671 | 0.821 | 0.717 |
| Diff-in-Hansen test | 0.645 | 0.682 | 0.689 | ||||||
| Wald test | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||||
| Panel A. Logistic regressions | Panel B. System GMM | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | Model I | Model II | Model III | Model IV | Model V | Variables | Model I | Model II | Model IV |
| FS Ratio | 0.025 | FS Ratio | 0.00004 | ||||||
| LnTFCF | 0.197 | LnTFCF | 0.00031 | ||||||
| TFCF/TA | 2.244 | ||||||||
| LnNFCF | 0.173 | LnNFCF | 0.00026 | ||||||
| NFCF/TA | 3.013 | NFCF/TA | |||||||
| NV/TA(−1) | 0.702 | 0.677 | 0.686 | ||||||
| Hosmer–Lemeshow | 0.120 | 0.312 | 0.158 | 0.279 | 0.154 | No. of Instruments | 95 | 95 | 95 |
| AUC-ROC curve | 0.8172 | 0.8236 | 0.7811 | 0.8159 | 0.7769 | No. of Groups | 250 | 250 | 250 |
| Pseudo | 0.2275 | 0.2469 | 0.1877 | 0.2332 | 0.1805 | AR2 | 0.769 | 0.771 | 0.770 |
| Likelihood Ratio ( | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | Hansen test | 0.671 | 0.821 | 0.717 |
| Diff-in-Hansen test | 0.645 | 0.682 | 0.689 | ||||||
| Wald test | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||||
Notes:
For definitions of variables, refer to Table 1. In all models, N = 2,250 firm-year observations. In Panel A, the dependent variable is a binary variable HS, and figures in each cell correspond to the coefficient value, standard errors in parenthesis and odds ratio. In Panel B, the dependent variable is the notional value ratio (NV/TA), and figures in each cell correspond to the coefficients and standard errors in parenthesis. All estimated models include Shari'ah and all control variables, but the results are not reported since they are consistent with Table 4. AUC-ROC denotes Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve. Asterisks ***, ** and * indicate significant at 1, 5 and 10% levels, respectively
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