Results of logistic regression and system GMM
| Panel A. Logistic regression | Panel B. System GMM | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | E(Sign) | Model I | Model II | Variables | Model I | Model II | |
| FS Ratio | + | 0.015*** (0.002) 1.015 | 0.016*** (0.002) 1.016 | Foreign Sales (FS) | 0.00002*** (0.00007) | 0.00003*** (0.00001) | |
| LnTFCF | + | 0.152*** (0.018) 1.164 | LnTFCF | 0.00020*** (0.00005) | |||
| LnnFCF | 0.124*** (0.017) 1.132 | LnNFCF | 0.00012** (0.00005) | ||||
| SHA | − | 0.373** (0.154) 1.452 | 0.362** (0.154) 1.437 | SHA | −0.00055 (0.00060) | −0.00021 (0.00060) | |
| Control | |||||||
| LnTA | + | 0.502*** (0.044) 1.652 | 0.528*** (0.04) 1.696 | LnTA | −0.00016 (0.00016) | −0.00021 (0.00015) | |
| MTBV | + | 0.065*** (0.019) 1.067 | 0.072*** (0.019) 1.075 | MTBV | 0.00013*** (0.00004) | 0.00013*** (0.000039) | |
| ICR | − | 0.003 (0.003) 1.003 | 0.002 (0.003) 1.002 | ICR | 0.00003*** (0.00001) | 0.00003*** (0.00001) | |
| SR | + | −0.225*** (0.074) 0.798 | −0.214*** (0.074) 0.807 | SR | −0.00041*** (0.00015) | −0.00035** (0.00016) | |
| NV/TA (−1) | 0.69980*** (0.00434) | 0.69951*** (0.00421) | |||||
| Diagnostic tests | |||||||
| Hosmer and Lemeshow | 0.671 | 0.624 | No of Instruments | 112 | 112 | ||
| Area under ROC curve | 0.839 | 0.832 | No of Groups | 250 | 250 | ||
| Pseudo R2 | 0.265 | 0.253 | AR2 | 0.763 | 0.765 | ||
| Likelihood Ratio (p-value) | 0.000 | 0.000 | Hansen test | 0.929 | 0.904 | ||
| Diff-in-Hansen test | 0.898 | 0.912 | |||||
| Wald test | 0.000 | 0.000 | |||||
| Panel A. Logistic regression | Panel B. System GMM | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | E(Sign) | Model I | Model II | Variables | Model I | Model II | |
| FS Ratio | + | 0.015 | 0.016 | Foreign Sales (FS) | 0.00002 | 0.00003 | |
| LnTFCF | + | 0.152 | LnTFCF | 0.00020 | |||
| LnnFCF | 0.124 | LnNFCF | 0.00012 | ||||
| SHA | − | 0.373 | 0.362 | SHA | −0.00055 | −0.00021 | |
| LnTA | + | 0.502 | 0.528 | LnTA | −0.00016 | −0.00021 | |
| MTBV | + | 0.065 | 0.072 | MTBV | 0.00013 | 0.00013 | |
| ICR | − | 0.003 | 0.002 | ICR | 0.00003 | 0.00003 | |
| SR | + | −0.225 | −0.214 | SR | −0.00041 | −0.00035 | |
| NV/TA (−1) | 0.69980 | 0.69951 | |||||
| Hosmer and Lemeshow | 0.671 | 0.624 | No of Instruments | 112 | 112 | ||
| Area under ROC curve | 0.839 | 0.832 | No of Groups | 250 | 250 | ||
| Pseudo | 0.265 | 0.253 | AR2 | 0.763 | 0.765 | ||
| Likelihood Ratio ( | 0.000 | 0.000 | Hansen test | 0.929 | 0.904 | ||
| Diff-in-Hansen test | 0.898 | 0.912 | |||||
| Wald test | 0.000 | 0.000 | |||||
Notes:
For definitions of variables, refer to Table 1. In all models, N = 2,250 firm-year observations. In Panel A, the dependent variable is a binary variable HS, and figures in each cell correspond to the coefficient value, standard errors in parenthesis and odds ratio. In Panel B, the dependent variable is the notional value ratio (NV/TA), and figures in each cell correspond to the coefficients and standard errors in parenthesis. ROC stands for the receiver operating characteristic. Asterisks ***, ** and * indicate significant at 1, 5 and 10% levels, respectively
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