Monthly seasonal temperature and precipitation levels
| Scenario 1 (1) | Scenario 2 (2) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) CORDEX (temperature projections) | 2.5% precipitation decrease from observations (see Table II) | |||||||
| Historical | RCP4.5 | RCP4.5 | RCP8.5 | RCP8.5 | Tb + 2.5°C | Tb + 2.5°C | Tb + 2.5°C | |
| (all farms) | (rainfed farms) | (irrigated farms) | ||||||
| Period | (1981-2010) | (2036-2065) | (2071-2100) | (2036-2065) | (2071-2100) | (2050-2100) | (2050-2100) | (2050-2100) |
| Dec-Feb | 22.58 | 24.19 | 24.98 | 24.93 | 26.88 | 22.1 | 27.5 | 28.4 |
| Apr-Sep | 25.2 | 26.8 | 27.59 | 27.53 | 29.45 | 28.2 | 27.6 | 27 |
| Oct-Mar | 24.46 | 26.12 | 26.89 | 26.84 | 28.85 | 34.9 | 31.1 | 30.5 |
| (b) CORDEX (precipitation projections) | 5% precipitation decrease from observations (see Table II) | |||||||
| Historical | RCP4.5 | RCP4.5 | RCP8.5 | RCP8.5 | Pb: 5% | Pb: 5% | Pb: 5% | |
| (all farms) | (rainfed farms) | (irrigated farms) | ||||||
| Period | (1981-2010) | (2036-2065) | (2071-2100) | (2036-2065) | (2071-2100) | (2050-2100) | (2050-2100) | (2050-2100) |
| Dec-Feb | 2.79 | 10.5 | 10.53 | 3.24 | 3.42 | 12.065 | 20.14 | 17.1 |
| Apr-Sep | 174.12 | 183.78 | 183.09 | 177.66 | 178.92 | 160.55 | 132.24 | 143.165 |
| Oct-Mar | 30.51 | 38.19 | 38.22 | 30.78 | 32.19 | 44.365 | 35.435 | 32.015 |
| Scenario 1 (1) | Scenario 2 (2) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | 2.5% precipitation decrease from observations (see | |||||||
| Historical | RCP4.5 | RCP4.5 | RCP8.5 | RCP8.5 | Tb + 2.5°C | Tb + 2.5°C | Tb + 2.5°C | |
| (all farms) | (rainfed farms) | (irrigated farms) | ||||||
| Period | (1981-2010) | (2036-2065) | (2071-2100) | (2036-2065) | (2071-2100) | (2050-2100) | (2050-2100) | (2050-2100) |
| Dec-Feb | 22.58 | 24.19 | 24.98 | 24.93 | 26.88 | 22.1 | 27.5 | 28.4 |
| Apr-Sep | 25.2 | 26.8 | 27.59 | 27.53 | 29.45 | 28.2 | 27.6 | 27 |
| Oct-Mar | 24.46 | 26.12 | 26.89 | 26.84 | 28.85 | 34.9 | 31.1 | 30.5 |
| (b) | 5% precipitation decrease from observations (see | |||||||
| Historical | RCP4.5 | RCP4.5 | RCP8.5 | RCP8.5 | Pb: 5% | Pb: 5% | Pb: 5% | |
| (all farms) | (rainfed farms) | (irrigated farms) | ||||||
| Period | (1981-2010) | (2036-2065) | (2071-2100) | (2036-2065) | (2071-2100) | (2050-2100) | (2050-2100) | (2050-2100) |
| Dec-Feb | 2.79 | 10.5 | 10.53 | 3.24 | 3.42 | 12.065 | 20.14 | 17.1 |
| Apr-Sep | 174.12 | 183.78 | 183.09 | 177.66 | 178.92 | 160.55 | 132.24 | 143.165 |
| Oct-Mar | 30.51 | 38.19 | 38.22 | 30.78 | 32.19 | 44.365 | 35.435 | 32.015 |
Notes: N.B., where Tb: baseline temperature: Pb: baseline precipitation; (a) monthly seasonal temperature (in °C) as generated from CORDEX and hypotheses of +2.5°C from observations (baseline period of 1981-2010); (b) monthly seasonal precipitation (in mm/month) as generated from CORDEX and hypotheses of −5% precipitation decrease from observations (baseline period of 1981-2010)
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