Table VI.

Impacts of +2.5°C and −5% changes in temperature and precipitation on cocoa NRh

IPCC Scenarios based
Baseline
Tb and Pb
Tb + 2.5°C
and Pb
Tb and Pb
−5% Pb
Tb + 2.5°C and Pb − 5% Pb
Seasonal variables(1981-2010)(2050-2100)(2050-2100)(2050-2100)
All farms
Dec-Feb (Harmattan)64.0073.1564.0373.19
Apr-Sep (rainy season)11.4210.7913.1912.56
Oct-Mar (dry season)−108.94−126.22−108.46−125.75
Annual−11.17−14.09−10.42−13.33
Rainfed farms
Dec-Feb (Harmattan)30.6834.3530.2633.94
Apr-Sep (rainy season)24.7621.6823.4920.40
Oct-Mar (dry season)−153.93−176.34−151.19−173.59
Annual−32.83−40.10−32.48−39.75
Supplementary irrigated farms
Dec-Feb (Harmattan)30.0431.3430.0331.33
Apr-Sep (rainy season)18.3218.6318.3818.69
Oct-Mar (dry season)16.3716.3616.3616.35
Annual21.5822.1121.5922.12

Notes: N.B: Tb: baseline temperature; and Pb: baseline precipitation

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