Table 6.

Results of NARDL model

Variablecoefficientstandard deviationT-statisticp-value
FS(−1)−0.1077***0.0320−3.370.001
TEMP+(−1)−0.0047***0.0008−6.020.000
TEMP(−1)−0.0051***0.0008−6.410.000
ΔFS(−1)−0.3262***0.0674−4.840.000
ΔTEMP+−0.0167***0.0031−5.350.000
ΔTEMP+(−1)−0.0056**0.0027−2.120.035
ΔTEMP0.0096***0.00253.880.000
ΔTEMP(−1)0.0061*0.00311.960.051
Cons0.1659***0.02048.140.000
β+−0.044*** {8.460}  0.004
β0.048*** {9.661}  0.002
Asymmetry and Co-integration test
WLR149.800***WSR59.270*** 
tBDM−3.366***FPSS16.224*** 

Notes:

The superscripts ‘+’ and ‘−’ indicate positive and negative partial sums, respectively. Δ is the first difference operator. β+and β- are the estimated asymmetric long-term coefficients associated with positive and negative changes, respectively. tBDM and FPSS are t-statistic and F-statistic, respectively, for testing the null hypothesis of no nonlinear long-term relationships in the NARDL model. WLR and WSR are Wald statistics, for testing long-term and short-term asymmetric effects, respectively. Values in brackets {} are F-statistic. *, ** and *** represent significance levels at 10, 5 and 1%, respectively

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