Effects of the financial variables on conventional stock returns of G7 countries
| Dep. Var | Location | Scale | Quantile level | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON_RET | ||||||||||||
| 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | OLS | |||
| CDS_ret | −0.13*** | 0.02*** | −0.17*** | −0.15*** | −0.14*** | −0.14*** | −0.13*** | −0.13*** | −0.12*** | −0.11*** | −0.10*** | −0.13*** |
| −29.78 | 6.92 | −22.41 | −24.98 | −27.57 | −29.12 | −29.78 | −29.43 | −27.73 | −24.49 | −18.96 | −34.27 | |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |
| BONDY_ret | 0.02*** | −0.01*** | 0.04*** | 0.03*** | 0.03*** | 0.03*** | 0.02*** | 0.02*** | 0.02*** | 0.02*** | 0.01*** | −0.00 |
| 8.25 | −4.6 | 7.93 | 8.31 | 8.55 | 8.51 | 8.18 | 7.53 | 6.51 | 5.06 | 3 | −0.67 | |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.003 | 0.501 | |
| E/R_ret | −0.20*** | 0.18*** | −0.50*** | −0.40*** | −0.31*** | −0.25*** | −0.19*** | −0.14*** | −0.09*** | −0.02 | 0.08** | −0.21*** |
| −7.11 | 9.72 | −10.56 | −10.13 | −9.34 | −8.3 | −6.88 | −5.17 | −3.09 | −0.66 | 2.25 | −8.88 | |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.002 | 0.511 | 0.025 | 0.000 | |
| USCDS_ret | 0.21*** | −0.03*** | 0.26*** | 0.24*** | 0.23*** | 0.22*** | 0.21*** | 0.20*** | 0.19*** | 0.18*** | 0.16*** | 0.19*** |
| 18.17 | −4.11 | 13.59 | 15.19 | 16.78 | 17.75 | 18.18 | 17.98 | 16.98 | 15.02 | 11.68 | 19.18 | |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |
| MSCIW_ret | 0.66*** | −0.14*** | 0.89*** | 0.81*** | 0.75*** | 0.69*** | 0.65*** | 0.61*** | 0.57*** | 0.52*** | 0.44*** | 0.59*** |
| 32.19 | −10.38 | 26.09 | 28.47 | 30.78 | 31.95 | 32.06 | 31.14 | 28.67 | 24.58 | 18.02 | 37.38 | |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |
| VIX_ret | −0.07*** | −0.02*** | −0.03*** | −0.05*** | −0.06*** | −0.07*** | −0.07*** | −0.08*** | −0.09*** | −0.09*** | −0.11*** | −0.07*** |
| −20.03 | −10.03 | −5.61 | −9.19 | −13.51 | −17.12 | −20.4 | −23.16 | −25.03 | −25.88 | −25.03 | −21.79 | |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |
| OVX_ret | −0.08*** | 0.02*** | −0.12*** | −0.11*** | −0.10*** | −0.09*** | −0.09*** | −0.08*** | −0.07*** | −0.07*** | −0.06*** | −0.11*** |
| −14.08 | 5.14 | −11.79 | −12.78 | −13.68 | −14.08 | −14.04 | −13.49 | −12.31 | −10.39 | −7.41 | −22.62 | |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |
| C | −5.28*** | 1.15*** | −7.20*** | −6.57*** | −6.01*** | −5.61*** | −5.24*** | −4.89*** | −4.53*** | −4.10*** | −3.48*** | −4.62*** |
| −27.78 | 9.41 | −22.81 | −24.81 | −26.72 | −27.65 | −27.68 | −26.78 | −24.56 | −20.94 | −15.19 | −31.6 | |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |
| Dep. Var | Location | Scale | Quantile level | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON_RET | ||||||||||||
| 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | OLS | |||
| CDS_ret | −0.13*** | 0.02*** | −0.17*** | −0.15*** | −0.14*** | −0.14*** | −0.13*** | −0.13*** | −0.12*** | −0.11*** | −0.10*** | −0.13*** |
| −29.78 | 6.92 | −22.41 | −24.98 | −27.57 | −29.12 | −29.78 | −29.43 | −27.73 | −24.49 | −18.96 | −34.27 | |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |
| BONDY_ret | 0.02*** | −0.01*** | 0.04*** | 0.03*** | 0.03*** | 0.03*** | 0.02*** | 0.02*** | 0.02*** | 0.02*** | 0.01*** | −0.00 |
| 8.25 | −4.6 | 7.93 | 8.31 | 8.55 | 8.51 | 8.18 | 7.53 | 6.51 | 5.06 | 3 | −0.67 | |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.003 | 0.501 | |
| E/R_ret | −0.20*** | 0.18*** | −0.50*** | −0.40*** | −0.31*** | −0.25*** | −0.19*** | −0.14*** | −0.09*** | −0.02 | 0.08** | −0.21*** |
| −7.11 | 9.72 | −10.56 | −10.13 | −9.34 | −8.3 | −6.88 | −5.17 | −3.09 | −0.66 | 2.25 | −8.88 | |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.002 | 0.511 | 0.025 | 0.000 | |
| USCDS_ret | 0.21*** | −0.03*** | 0.26*** | 0.24*** | 0.23*** | 0.22*** | 0.21*** | 0.20*** | 0.19*** | 0.18*** | 0.16*** | 0.19*** |
| 18.17 | −4.11 | 13.59 | 15.19 | 16.78 | 17.75 | 18.18 | 17.98 | 16.98 | 15.02 | 11.68 | 19.18 | |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |
| MSCIW_ret | 0.66*** | −0.14*** | 0.89*** | 0.81*** | 0.75*** | 0.69*** | 0.65*** | 0.61*** | 0.57*** | 0.52*** | 0.44*** | 0.59*** |
| 32.19 | −10.38 | 26.09 | 28.47 | 30.78 | 31.95 | 32.06 | 31.14 | 28.67 | 24.58 | 18.02 | 37.38 | |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |
| VIX_ret | −0.07*** | −0.02*** | −0.03*** | −0.05*** | −0.06*** | −0.07*** | −0.07*** | −0.08*** | −0.09*** | −0.09*** | −0.11*** | −0.07*** |
| −20.03 | −10.03 | −5.61 | −9.19 | −13.51 | −17.12 | −20.4 | −23.16 | −25.03 | −25.88 | −25.03 | −21.79 | |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |
| OVX_ret | −0.08*** | 0.02*** | −0.12*** | −0.11*** | −0.10*** | −0.09*** | −0.09*** | −0.08*** | −0.07*** | −0.07*** | −0.06*** | −0.11*** |
| −14.08 | 5.14 | −11.79 | −12.78 | −13.68 | −14.08 | −14.04 | −13.49 | −12.31 | −10.39 | −7.41 | −22.62 | |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |
| C | −5.28*** | 1.15*** | −7.20*** | −6.57*** | −6.01*** | −5.61*** | −5.24*** | −4.89*** | −4.53*** | −4.10*** | −3.48*** | −4.62*** |
| −27.78 | 9.41 | −22.81 | −24.81 | −26.72 | −27.65 | −27.68 | −26.78 | −24.56 | −20.94 | −15.19 | −31.6 | |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |
Note(s): ***, **, * shows 1%, 5%, 10% level of significance
Source(s): Created by the authors
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