Panel ARDL results (Misalignment_186)
| Pooled mean group | Mean group | Dynamic fixed effects | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coef. | Std. error | Coef. | Std. error | Coef. | Std. error | |
| Long-run coefficients | ||||||
| Mis_186 | −1.9618*** | 0.4723 | −0.7001*** | 2.7031 | −1.1758* | 0.6368 |
| Pop | 0.5380*** | 0.0860 | 0.4133 | 1.7159 | 0.4354*** | 0.1196 |
| HK | 0.4559*** | 0.0802 | 0.7704 | 0.6420 | 0.0776 | 0.0647 |
| INF | −0.0862*** | 0.0118 | −0.2322*** | 0.0662 | −0.0242*** | 0.0048 |
| OPEN | 0.0138*** | 0.0052 | 0.0846*** | 0.0239 | −0.0027 | 0.0094 |
| UN | −0.0862** | 0.0118 | −1.4384** | 0.6247 | −0.0094 | 0.0404 |
| Error-correction coefficient | ||||||
| ECT (−1) | −0.8789*** | 0.0310 | −1.1586*** | 0.0312 | −0.8456*** | 0.0342 |
| ΔMis186 | −0.6686 | 2.1087 | 4.2609 | 2.7846 | 2.2195* | 1.2480 |
| ΔPop | 0.4552 | 1.1303 | 1.7979 | 1.9106 | −0.1361* | 0.0751 |
| ΔHK | 0.4826 | 0.3827 | −0.1593 | 0.6369 | 0.4796*** | 0.1044 |
| ΔINF | 0.0277 | 0.0273 | 0.1274*** | 0.0478 | 0.0015 | 0.0021 |
| ΔOPEN | 0.1143*** | 0.0178 | 0.0621*** | 0.0258 | 0.0554*** | 0.0119 |
| Δ | −1.7488*** | 0.2946 | −0.3973 | 0.6089 | −1.3305*** | 0.0973 |
| Intercept | −24.0796*** | 1.0813 | −51.3916 | 44.0457 | −0.7777 | 3.7228 |
| BIC | 9,799.67 | 9,865.45 | 9,980.21 | |||
| AIC | 9,711.92 | 9,817.60 | 9,880.48 | |||
| Observations | 2,566 | 2,566 | 2,566 | |||
| Hausman test | 6.25(i) (0.3953) | 8.96(ii) (0.5698) | ||||
| Pooled mean group | Mean group | Dynamic fixed effects | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coef. | Std. error | Coef. | Std. error | Coef. | Std. error | |
| Mis_186 | −1.9618 | 0.4723 | − | 2.7031 | −1.1758 | 0.6368 |
| Pop | 0.5380 | 0.0860 | 0.4133 | 1.7159 | 0.4354 | 0.1196 |
| HK | 0.4559 | 0.0802 | 0.7704 | 0.6420 | 0.0776 | 0.0647 |
| INF | −0.0862 | 0.0118 | −0.2322 | 0.0662 | −0.0242 | 0.0048 |
| OPEN | 0.0138 | 0.0052 | 0.0846 | 0.0239 | −0.0027 | 0.0094 |
| UN | −0.0862 | 0.0118 | −1.4384 | 0.6247 | −0.0094 | 0.0404 |
| ECT (−1) | −0.8789 | 0.0310 | −1.1586 | 0.0312 | −0.8456 | 0.0342 |
| ΔMis186 | −0.6686 | 2.1087 | 4.2609 | 2.7846 | 2.2195 | 1.2480 |
| ΔPop | 0.4552 | 1.1303 | 1.7979 | 1.9106 | −0.1361 | 0.0751 |
| ΔHK | 0.4826 | 0.3827 | −0.1593 | 0.6369 | 0.4796 | 0.1044 |
| ΔINF | 0.0277 | 0.0273 | 0.1274 | 0.0478 | 0.0015 | 0.0021 |
| ΔOPEN | 0.1143 | 0.0178 | 0.0621 | 0.0258 | 0.0554 | 0.0119 |
| Δ | −1.7488 | 0.2946 | −0.3973 | 0.6089 | −1.3305 | 0.0973 |
| Intercept | −24.0796 | 1.0813 | −51.3916 | 44.0457 | −0.7777 | 3.7228 |
| BIC | 9,799.67 | 9,865.45 | 9,980.21 | |||
| AIC | 9,711.92 | 9,817.60 | 9,880.48 | |||
| Observations | 2,566 | 2,566 | 2,566 | |||
| Hausman test | 6.25(i) | 8.96(ii) | ||||
*, ** and ***indicate significance at 10, 5 and 1%, respectively.
aUnder the null hypothesis, PMG is more efficient estimation than MG;
bPMG is more efficient estimation than DFE under the null hypothesis. In brackets are the associated p-values
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