Panel ARDL results (Misalignment_30)
| Pooled mean group | Mean group | Dynamic fixed effects | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coef. | Std. error | Coef. | Std. error | Coef. | Std. error | |
| Long-run coefficients | ||||||
| Mis_30 | −1.8741*** | 0.4886 | −5.3945*** | 2.6861 | −1.1599* | 0.6319 |
| Pop | 0.4923*** | 0.0919 | 0.3250 | 1.6706 | 0.4366*** | 0.1202 |
| HK | 0.4432*** | 0.0805 | 0.7989 | 0.6427 | 0.0818 | 0.0635 |
| INF | −0.0897*** | 0.0120 | −0.2395*** | 0.0666 | −0.0244*** | 0.0048 |
| OPEN | 0.0124*** | 0.0051 | 0.0898*** | 0.0244 | −0.0027 | 0.0094 |
| UN | −0.0588** | 0.0256 | −1.4520*** | 0.6168 | −0.0110 | 0.0403 |
| Error-correction coefficient | ||||||
| ECT (−1) | −0.8756*** | 0.0311 | −1.1504*** | 0.0310 | −0.8461*** | 0.0342 |
| ΔMis30 | 0.0292 | 2.0803 | 3.3010 | 2.7502 | 2.6291** | 1.2614 |
| ΔPop | 0.3530 | 1.1399 | 1.3864 | 1.9228 | −0.1352* | 0.0754 |
| ΔHK | 0.5220 | 0.3854 | −0.1829 | 0.6417 | 0.4792*** | 0.1042 |
| ΔINF | 0.0299 | 0.0275 | 0.1340*** | 0.0473 | 0.0015 | 0.0022 |
| ΔOPEN | 0.1178*** | 0.0187 | 0.0587** | 0.0258 | 0.0562*** | 0.0120 |
| ΔUN | −1.7002*** | 0.2837 | −0.3109 | 0.5998 | −1.3283*** | 0.0972 |
| Intercept | −23.0660*** | 1.0435 | −51.0558 | 43.8662 | −1.0028 | 3.6662 |
| BIC | 9,783.89 | 9,856.74 | 9,976.52 | |||
| AIC | 9,696.14 | 9,816.01 | 9,880.12 | |||
| Observations | 25,66 | 2,566 | 2,566 | |||
| Hausman test | 5.99(i) (0.4238) | 8.36(ii) (0.5596) | ||||
| Pooled mean group | Mean group | Dynamic fixed effects | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coef. | Std. error | Coef. | Std. error | Coef. | Std. error | |
| Mis_30 | −1.8741 | 0.4886 | −5.3945 | 2.6861 | −1.1599 | 0.6319 |
| Pop | 0.4923 | 0.0919 | 0.3250 | 1.6706 | 0.4366 | 0.1202 |
| HK | 0.4432 | 0.0805 | 0.7989 | 0.6427 | 0.0818 | 0.0635 |
| INF | −0.0897 | 0.0120 | −0.2395 | 0.0666 | −0.0244 | 0.0048 |
| OPEN | 0.0124 | 0.0051 | 0.0898 | 0.0244 | −0.0027 | 0.0094 |
| UN | −0.0588 | 0.0256 | −1.4520 | 0.6168 | −0.0110 | 0.0403 |
| ECT (−1) | −0.8756 | 0.0311 | −1.1504 | 0.0310 | −0.8461 | 0.0342 |
| ΔMis30 | 0.0292 | 2.0803 | 3.3010 | 2.7502 | 2.6291 | 1.2614 |
| ΔPop | 0.3530 | 1.1399 | 1.3864 | 1.9228 | −0.1352 | 0.0754 |
| ΔHK | 0.5220 | 0.3854 | −0.1829 | 0.6417 | 0.4792 | 0.1042 |
| ΔINF | 0.0299 | 0.0275 | 0.1340 | 0.0473 | 0.0015 | 0.0022 |
| ΔOPEN | 0.1178 | 0.0187 | 0.0587 | 0.0258 | 0.0562 | 0.0120 |
| Δ | −1.7002 | 0.2837 | −0.3109 | 0.5998 | −1.3283 | 0.0972 |
| Intercept | −23.0660 | 1.0435 | −51.0558 | 43.8662 | −1.0028 | 3.6662 |
| BIC | 9,783.89 | 9,856.74 | 9,976.52 | |||
| AIC | 9,696.14 | 9,816.01 | 9,880.12 | |||
| Observations | 25,66 | 2,566 | 2,566 | |||
| Hausman test | 5.99(i) | 8.36(ii) | ||||
*, ** and ***indicate significance at 10, 5 and 1%, respectively;
aUnder the null hypothesis, PMG is more efficient estimation than MG;
bPMG is more efficient estimation than DFE under the null hypothesis. In brackets are the associated p-values
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