Experiment variables for scenario analysis
| Scenario | Title | Phase | Natural growth of GRDP (%) | Growth rate of throughput (%) | Workforce demand (%) | Total firm in cluster (%) | SOx emission (%) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scenario 1 | All Things Get Better | Initial | High | 101–102 | High | 102–103 | Low | 0 | Low | 0 | Minus | 20–25 |
| Middle | High | 105–106 | High | 106–107 | High | 105–107 | High | 103–105 | Minus | 40 | ||
| Final | High | 106–107 | High | 115–120 | High | 109–112 | High | 107–110 | Minus | 50 | ||
| Scenario 2 | Economic Down Trend | Initial | Minus | 10–15 | Minus | 5–10 | Low | 0 | Low | 0 | Minus | 15–20 |
| Middle | Minus | 5–10 | Minus | 1–5 | Low | 0 | Low | 0 | Minus | 20–25 | ||
| Final | Minus | 1–5 | Low | 0 | Low | 0 | Low | 0 | Minus | 30–35 | ||
| Scenario 3 | New Waves Emerge! | Initial | Minus | 40–45 | Minus | 20 | Minus | 20–25 | Minus | 5–7 | Minus | 5–10 |
| Middle | Minus | 20–25 | Minus | 10–15 | Minus | 15–20 | Minus | 2–3 | Minus | 10–15 | ||
| Final | Minus | 10–15 | Minus | 5–10 | Minus | 5–10 | Low | 0 | Minus | 15–20 | ||
| Scenario | Title | Phase | Natural growth of GRDP (%) | Growth rate of throughput (%) | Workforce demand (%) | Total firm in cluster (%) | SOx emission (%) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scenario 1 | All Things Get Better | Initial | High | 101–102 | High | 102–103 | Low | 0 | Low | 0 | Minus | 20–25 |
| Middle | High | 105–106 | High | 106–107 | High | 105–107 | High | 103–105 | Minus | 40 | ||
| Final | High | 106–107 | High | 115–120 | High | 109–112 | High | 107–110 | Minus | 50 | ||
| Scenario 2 | Economic Down Trend | Initial | Minus | 10–15 | Minus | 5–10 | Low | 0 | Low | 0 | Minus | 15–20 |
| Middle | Minus | 5–10 | Minus | 1–5 | Low | 0 | Low | 0 | Minus | 20–25 | ||
| Final | Minus | 1–5 | Low | 0 | Low | 0 | Low | 0 | Minus | 30–35 | ||
| Scenario 3 | New Waves Emerge! | Initial | Minus | 40–45 | Minus | 20 | Minus | 20–25 | Minus | 5–7 | Minus | 5–10 |
| Middle | Minus | 20–25 | Minus | 10–15 | Minus | 15–20 | Minus | 2–3 | Minus | 10–15 | ||
| Final | Minus | 10–15 | Minus | 5–10 | Minus | 5–10 | Low | 0 | Minus | 15–20 | ||
Source(s): Authors’ own work
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