Table 1

Variable description, measurement and expected sign

VariableDescriptionMeasurementSource
Explained variableTBTrade balanceAnnual difference between trade export and import of goods and servicesInternational Trade Commission
 FDIForeign direct investmentAnnual net foreign inflows (% of GDP)Word Development Indicators
 GEXGovernment expenditureAnnual total amount of money spent by a government on goods and services, including public infrastructure, education, healthcare, defence, and social welfare programs (% of GDP)World Development Indicators
Explanatory variablesREERExchange rateA weighted average of the Ghanaian currency relative to a basket of other major currencies, adjusted for inflationBank of Ghana
 INFInflation rateAnnual average % increase in consumer pricesInternational Monetary Fund
 AGRAgricultural growthThe annual net output of the agricultural sector after adding up all outputs and subtracting intermediate inputs (% of GDP)World Development Indicators

Note(s): An increasing REER indicates appreciation of the Ghanaian currency

Source(s): Authors’ construct, 2024

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