Variable description, measurement and expected sign
| Variable | Description | Measurement | Source | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Explained variable | TB | Trade balance | Annual difference between trade export and import of goods and services | International Trade Commission |
| FDI | Foreign direct investment | Annual net foreign inflows (% of GDP) | Word Development Indicators | |
| GEX | Government expenditure | Annual total amount of money spent by a government on goods and services, including public infrastructure, education, healthcare, defence, and social welfare programs (% of GDP) | World Development Indicators | |
| Explanatory variables | REER | Exchange rate | A weighted average of the Ghanaian currency relative to a basket of other major currencies, adjusted for inflation | Bank of Ghana |
| INF | Inflation rate | Annual average % increase in consumer prices | International Monetary Fund | |
| AGR | Agricultural growth | The annual net output of the agricultural sector after adding up all outputs and subtracting intermediate inputs (% of GDP) | World Development Indicators |
| Variable | Description | Measurement | Source | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Explained variable | TB | Trade balance | Annual difference between trade export and import of goods and services | International Trade Commission |
| FDI | Foreign direct investment | Annual net foreign inflows (% of GDP) | Word Development Indicators | |
| GEX | Government expenditure | Annual total amount of money spent by a government on goods and services, including public infrastructure, education, healthcare, defence, and social welfare programs (% of GDP) | World Development Indicators | |
| Explanatory variables | REER | Exchange rate | A weighted average of the Ghanaian currency relative to a basket of other major currencies, adjusted for inflation | Bank of Ghana |
| INF | Inflation rate | Annual average % increase in consumer prices | International Monetary Fund | |
| AGR | Agricultural growth | The annual net output of the agricultural sector after adding up all outputs and subtracting intermediate inputs (% of GDP) | World Development Indicators |
Note(s): An increasing REER indicates appreciation of the Ghanaian currency
Source(s): Authors’ construct, 2024
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