The impact of EPU on the relations of inflation and Chinese banks’ loan price
| China’s EPU | Global EPU | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Med EPU SCMP | Mean EPU SCMP | Med EPU mainland | Global med EPU | Global mean EPU | ||||||
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | ||||||
| EPU measures | Coef. | Std. err | Coef. | Std. err | Coef. | Std. err | Coef. | Std. err | Coef. | Std. err |
| c.EPU | −0.010*** | 0.001 | −0.010*** | 0.001 | −0.019*** | 0.002 | −0.033*** | 0.002 | −0.034*** | 0.003 |
| c.Inflation | 0.897*** | 0.071 | 0.979*** | 0.071 | 0.674*** | 0.138 | 0.731*** | 0.148 | 0.694*** | 0.162 |
| c.Inflation × c.EPU | 0.003*** | 0.000 | 0.003*** | 0.000 | 0.006*** | 0.002 | 0.007*** | 0.002 | 0.006** | 0.002 |
| Interest expense to liabilities | 2.675*** | 0.153 | 2.674*** | 0.155 | 2.685*** | 0.156 | 2.670*** | 0.159 | 2.667*** | 0.162 |
| Non-interest expenses to assets | −0.222 | 0.340 | −0.221 | 0.393 | 0.160 | 0.313 | 0.422 | 0.350 | 0.141 | 0.381 |
| LLP to gross loans | 0.514*** | 0.134 | 0.550*** | 0.141 | 0.455*** | 0.155 | 0.356* | 0.187 | 0.405** | 0.190 |
| Equity to assets | 0.004 | 0.029 | 0.011 | 0.031 | 0.005 | 0.032 | −0.013 | 0.036 | −0.007 | 0.037 |
| Loan to deposits | −0.005 | 0.003 | −0.006 | 0.004 | −0.006 | 0.003 | −0.006 | 0.004 | −0.007* | 0.004 |
| Bank size | 0.965*** | 0.226 | 1.131*** | 0.233 | 0.924** | 0.354 | 0.766* | 0.376 | 0.839** | 0.383 |
| GDP growth | −0.126* | 0.063 | −0.077 | 0.054 | −0.056 | 0.115 | −0.332*** | 0.097 | −0.315** | 0.114 |
| Constant | −6.364** | 2.768 | −8.477*** | 2.749 | −6.727 | 4.356 | −3.098 | 4.280 | −3.751 | 4.416 |
| Observations | 1,625 | 1,625 | 1,625 | 1,625 | 1,625 | |||||
| China’s EPU | Global EPU | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPU measures | ||||||||||
| −0.010 | 0.001 | −0.010 | 0.001 | −0.019 | 0.002 | −0.033 | 0.002 | −0.034 | 0.003 | |
| 0.897 | 0.071 | 0.979 | 0.071 | 0.674 | 0.138 | 0.731 | 0.148 | 0.694 | 0.162 | |
| 0.003 | 0.000 | 0.003 | 0.000 | 0.006 | 0.002 | 0.007 | 0.002 | 0.006 | 0.002 | |
| 2.675 | 0.153 | 2.674 | 0.155 | 2.685 | 0.156 | 2.670 | 0.159 | 2.667 | 0.162 | |
| −0.222 | 0.340 | −0.221 | 0.393 | 0.160 | 0.313 | 0.422 | 0.350 | 0.141 | 0.381 | |
| 0.514 | 0.134 | 0.550 | 0.141 | 0.455 | 0.155 | 0.356 | 0.187 | 0.405 | 0.190 | |
| 0.004 | 0.029 | 0.011 | 0.031 | 0.005 | 0.032 | −0.013 | 0.036 | −0.007 | 0.037 | |
| −0.005 | 0.003 | −0.006 | 0.004 | −0.006 | 0.003 | −0.006 | 0.004 | −0.007 | 0.004 | |
| 0.965 | 0.226 | 1.131 | 0.233 | 0.924 | 0.354 | 0.766 | 0.376 | 0.839 | 0.383 | |
| −0.126 | 0.063 | −0.077 | 0.054 | −0.056 | 0.115 | −0.332 | 0.097 | −0.315 | 0.114 | |
| Constant | −6.364 | 2.768 | −8.477 | 2.749 | −6.727 | 4.356 | −3.098 | 4.280 | −3.751 | 4.416 |
| Observations | 1,625 | 1,625 | 1,625 | 1,625 | 1,625 | |||||
Note(s):
***, ** and *indicate 1, 5 and 10% levels of significance, respectively
Sharing content requires targeting cookies to be enabled. Please update your cookie preferences to use this feature.