Table 7.

The individual and joint effects of local and global EPU and inflation on loan price by bank types

The big four and joint stock commercial banksCity commercial banks
China’s EPUGlobal EPUChina’s EPUGlobal EPUChina’s EPUGlobal EPUChina’s EPUGlobal EPU
Med EPU SCMPGlobal med EPUMed EPU SCMPGlobal med EPUMed EPU SCMPGlobal med EPUMed EPU SCMPGlobal med EPU
(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)
EPU measuresCoef.Std. errCoef.Std. errCoef.Std. errCoef.Std. errCoef.Std. errCoef.Std. errCoef.Std. errCoef.Std. err
c.EPU−0.005***0.001−0.019***0.002−0.005***0.000−0.018***0.001−0.003***0.001−0.010***0.003−0.004***0.001−0.011***0.003
c.Inflation0.159**0.0600.194***0.0630.553***0.0860.400***0.0840.203**0.0880.191**0.0810.357***0.0940.226***0.044
c.Inflation × c.EPU    0.002***0.0000.003***0.001    0.001*0.0000.0010.001
Interest expense to liabilities2.198***0.3012.083***0.3442.126***0.3342.083***0.3692.649***0.1402.645***0.1412.649***0.1412.645***0.142
Non-interest expenses to assets1.177**0.4111.993***0.5280.942**0.3901.884***0.5071.365***0.2131.615***0.1781.249***0.2361.599***0.191
LLP to gross loans0.493**0.2150.2660.2610.438*0.2170.2790.2520.452***0.1190.383***0.1250.435***0.1160.379***0.125
Equity to assets−0.0600.043−0.0810.053−0.0350.038−0.0710.0500.0390.0280.0400.0300.0390.0290.0400.030
Loan to deposits−0.0010.001−0.0010.001−0.0010.001−0.0000.001−0.120***0.014−0.126***0.014−0.115***0.017−0.125***0.015
Bank size0.632*0.3260.868**0.3310.891***0.2900.980***0.3150.568***0.1610.530***0.1710.698***0.1390.555***0.153
GDP growth−0.0820.107−0.1830.113−0.0020.110−0.1220.116−0.0630.048−0.1100.069−0.0430.046−0.1030.070
Constant−6.0705.106−8.6305.270−9.820*4.746−10.556*5.1103.2141.9164.105**1.6891.6001.9543.765**1.450
Observations2802802802801,3451,3451,3451,345

Note(s):

***, ** and *indicate 1, 5 and 10% levels of significance, respectively

Source(s): Authors’ own work

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