The individual and joint impacts of EPU and inflation on loan price (adding CR5)
| China’s EPU | Global EPU | China’s EPU | Global EPU | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Med EPU SCMP | Global med EPU | Med EPU SCMP | Global med EPU | |||||
| EPU measures | Coef. | Std. err | Coef. | Std. err | Coef. | Std. err | Coef. | Std. err |
| c.EPU | −0.009*** | 0.001 | −0.032*** | 0.003 | −0.010*** | 0.001 | −0.032*** | 0.003 |
| c.Inflation | 0.324** | 0.120 | 0.359** | 0.143 | 0.969*** | 0.100 | 0.670*** | 0.170 |
| c.Inflation × c.EPU | 0.003*** | 0.000 | 0.006* | 0.003 | ||||
| Interest expense to liabilities | 2.683*** | 0.149 | 2.666*** | 0.163 | 2.677*** | 0.152 | 2.666*** | 0.162 |
| Non-interest expenses to assets | −0.201 | 0.514 | 0.084 | 0.380 | −0.428 | 0.455 | 0.041 | 0.412 |
| LLP to gross loans | 0.628*** | 0.155 | 0.454** | 0.190 | 0.581*** | 0.139 | 0.452** | 0.181 |
| Equity to assets | −0.009 | 0.028 | −0.010 | 0.032 | 0.015 | 0.029 | 0.000 | 0.034 |
| Loan to deposits | −0.006 | 0.004 | −0.005 | 0.003 | −0.005 | 0.003 | −0.005 | 0.003 |
| Bank size | 0.596* | 0.322 | 0.726** | 0.320 | 1.199*** | 0.231 | 0.991** | 0.351 |
| GDP growth | −0.258** | 0.107 | −0.480*** | 0.102 | −0.068 | 0.076 | −0.360** | 0.133 |
| CR5 | 0.019*** | 0.006 | 0.035*** | 0.005 | 0.019*** | 0.006 | 0.035*** | 0.005 |
| Constant | −2.864 | 4.027 | −3.638 | 3.805 | −10.497*** | 2.785 | −7.380* | 4.198 |
| Observations | 1,493 | 1,493 | 1,493 | 1,493 | ||||
| China’s EPU | Global EPU | China’s EPU | Global EPU | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPU measures | ||||||||
| −0.009 | 0.001 | −0.032 | 0.003 | −0.010 | 0.001 | −0.032 | 0.003 | |
| 0.324 | 0.120 | 0.359 | 0.143 | 0.969 | 0.100 | 0.670 | 0.170 | |
| 0.003 | 0.000 | 0.006 | 0.003 | |||||
| 2.683 | 0.149 | 2.666 | 0.163 | 2.677 | 0.152 | 2.666 | 0.162 | |
| −0.201 | 0.514 | 0.084 | 0.380 | −0.428 | 0.455 | 0.041 | 0.412 | |
| 0.628 | 0.155 | 0.454 | 0.190 | 0.581 | 0.139 | 0.452 | 0.181 | |
| −0.009 | 0.028 | −0.010 | 0.032 | 0.015 | 0.029 | 0.000 | 0.034 | |
| −0.006 | 0.004 | −0.005 | 0.003 | −0.005 | 0.003 | −0.005 | 0.003 | |
| 0.596 | 0.322 | 0.726 | 0.320 | 1.199 | 0.231 | 0.991 | 0.351 | |
| −0.258 | 0.107 | −0.480 | 0.102 | −0.068 | 0.076 | −0.360 | 0.133 | |
| 0.019 | 0.006 | 0.035 | 0.005 | 0.019 | 0.006 | 0.035 | 0.005 | |
| Constant | −2.864 | 4.027 | −3.638 | 3.805 | −10.497 | 2.785 | −7.380 | 4.198 |
| Observations | 1,493 | 1,493 | 1,493 | 1,493 | ||||
Note(s): ***, ** and * indicate 1, 5 and 10% levels of significance, respectively
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