The individual and joint impacts of EPU and inflation on loan price (adding gov bond yield)
| China’s EPU | Global EPU | China’s EPU | Global EPU | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Med EPU SCMP | Global med EPU | Med EPU SCMP | Global med EPU | |||||
| EPU measures | Coef. | Std. err | Coef. | Std. err | Coef. | Std. err | Coef. | Std. err |
| c.EPU | −0.010*** | 0.001 | −0.038*** | 0.003 | −0.011*** | 0.001 | −0.039*** | 0.003 |
| c.Inflation | 0.411*** | 0.113 | 0.488*** | 0.128 | 1.025*** | 0.077 | 0.909*** | 0.154 |
| c.Inflation × c.EPU | 0.003*** | 0.000 | 0.008*** | 0.002 | ||||
| Interest expense to liabilities | 2.696*** | 0.144 | 2.686*** | 0.154 | 2.690*** | 0.146 | 2.686*** | 0.154 |
| Non-interest expenses to assets | 0.063 | 0.372 | 0.622** | 0.276 | −0.104 | 0.318 | 0.572* | 0.288 |
| LLP to gross loans | 0.664*** | 0.141 | 0.439** | 0.187 | 0.577*** | 0.112 | 0.403** | 0.158 |
| Equity to assets | −0.009 | 0.025 | −0.018 | 0.029 | 0.009 | 0.025 | −0.007 | 0.031 |
| Loan to deposits | −0.006 | 0.004 | −0.007 | 0.004 | −0.005 | 0.003 | −0.006 | 0.004 |
| Bank size | 0.543* | 0.291 | 0.580* | 0.306 | 1.059*** | 0.186 | 0.896** | 0.324 |
| GDP growth | −0.251** | 0.094 | −0.494*** | 0.075 | −0.126** | 0.045 | −0.382*** | 0.111 |
| Govt bond yield | −0.673*** | 0.188 | −0.898*** | 0.294 | −0.820*** | 0.144 | −1.021*** | 0.271 |
| Constant | 0.842 | 3.453 | 2.770 | 3.645 | −4.809** | 2.265 | −0.904 | 4.157 |
| Observations | 1,625 | 1,625 | 1,625 | 1,625 | ||||
| China’s EPU | Global EPU | China’s EPU | Global EPU | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPU measures | ||||||||
| −0.010 | 0.001 | −0.038 | 0.003 | −0.011 | 0.001 | −0.039 | 0.003 | |
| 0.411 | 0.113 | 0.488 | 0.128 | 1.025 | 0.077 | 0.909 | 0.154 | |
| 0.003 | 0.000 | 0.008 | 0.002 | |||||
| 2.696 | 0.144 | 2.686 | 0.154 | 2.690 | 0.146 | 2.686 | 0.154 | |
| 0.063 | 0.372 | 0.622 | 0.276 | −0.104 | 0.318 | 0.572 | 0.288 | |
| 0.664 | 0.141 | 0.439 | 0.187 | 0.577 | 0.112 | 0.403 | 0.158 | |
| −0.009 | 0.025 | −0.018 | 0.029 | 0.009 | 0.025 | −0.007 | 0.031 | |
| −0.006 | 0.004 | −0.007 | 0.004 | −0.005 | 0.003 | −0.006 | 0.004 | |
| 0.543 | 0.291 | 0.580 | 0.306 | 1.059 | 0.186 | 0.896 | 0.324 | |
| −0.251 | 0.094 | −0.494 | 0.075 | −0.126 | 0.045 | −0.382 | 0.111 | |
| −0.673 | 0.188 | −0.898 | 0.294 | −0.820 | 0.144 | −1.021 | 0.271 | |
| Constant | 0.842 | 3.453 | 2.770 | 3.645 | −4.809 | 2.265 | −0.904 | 4.157 |
| Observations | 1,625 | 1,625 | 1,625 | 1,625 | ||||
Note(s): ***, ** and *indicate 1, 5 and 10% levels of significance, respectively
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