Table 10

Logit re-estimated models’ accuracy in the European sample

ModelAltmanOhlsonZmijewski
CompanyNon-B.BankruptNon-B.BankruptNon-B.Bankrupt
Sample190381903819038
Predicted138241362813625
Cut-off≤0.5>0.5≤0.5>0.5≤0.5>0.5
False521454105413
Type I error 36.84% 26.32% 34.21%
Type II error27.37% 28.42% 28.42% 
Accuracy71.05%71.93%70.61%
AUC-ROC0.690.740.72

Note(s): AUC-ROC means the Area Under the ROC Curve. Non-B. is the number of non-bankrupt companies. Bankrupt is the number of bankrupt companies. Type I error is the percentage of bankrupt companies classified by the model as non-bankrupt, and Type II error is the percentage of non-bankrupt companies classified as bankrupt. Accuracy is the percentage of correctly predicted types in the total sample

Source(s): Authors’ own elaboration

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