Logit re-estimated models’ accuracy in the European sample
| Model | Altman | Ohlson | Zmijewski | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Company | Non-B. | Bankrupt | Non-B. | Bankrupt | Non-B. | Bankrupt |
| Sample | 190 | 38 | 190 | 38 | 190 | 38 |
| Predicted | 138 | 24 | 136 | 28 | 136 | 25 |
| Cut-off | ≤0.5 | >0.5 | ≤0.5 | >0.5 | ≤0.5 | >0.5 |
| False | 52 | 14 | 54 | 10 | 54 | 13 |
| Type I error | 36.84% | 26.32% | 34.21% | |||
| Type II error | 27.37% | 28.42% | 28.42% | |||
| Accuracy | 71.05% | 71.93% | 70.61% | |||
| AUC-ROC | 0.69 | 0.74 | 0.72 | |||
| Model | Altman | Ohlson | Zmijewski | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Company | Non-B. | Bankrupt | Non-B. | Bankrupt | Non-B. | Bankrupt |
| Sample | 190 | 38 | 190 | 38 | 190 | 38 |
| Predicted | 138 | 24 | 136 | 28 | 136 | 25 |
| Cut-off | ≤0.5 | >0.5 | ≤0.5 | >0.5 | ≤0.5 | >0.5 |
| False | 52 | 14 | 54 | 10 | 54 | 13 |
| Type I error | 36.84% | 26.32% | 34.21% | |||
| Type II error | 27.37% | 28.42% | 28.42% | |||
| Accuracy | 71.05% | 71.93% | 70.61% | |||
| AUC-ROC | 0.69 | 0.74 | 0.72 | |||
Note(s): AUC-ROC means the Area Under the ROC Curve. Non-B. is the number of non-bankrupt companies. Bankrupt is the number of bankrupt companies. Type I error is the percentage of bankrupt companies classified by the model as non-bankrupt, and Type II error is the percentage of non-bankrupt companies classified as bankrupt. Accuracy is the percentage of correctly predicted types in the total sample
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