Table 1 Adaptable SCP for uncertainty... | Emerald Publishing

Table 1

Adaptable SCP for uncertainty regulation

Planned regulation strategy	Planning challenge	Aim of the strategy	Examples of what is to be planned
Planned regulation strategy	Planning challenge	Aim of the strategy	Ex ante	Ex-post
Predictive – for known-known	Accessing and utilizing available data, applying structured processes, appropriate methods and competent people to predict and ensure accurate plans	Building predictive capabilities (better prepare for shocks) through structured processes use of forecasting and optimization tools	Optimize plans within the limits of known uncertainty, MRP II, S&OP/S&OE, inventory management	Monitor and adjust based on deviations between plans and actual demand/supply
Proactive – for known-unknown	Insufficient understanding to define the relationships between uncertainty outcomes in probabilistic terms	Building proactive capabilities (prevent unprecedented shocks) through information channels strengthening preparedness monitoring and continuous learning creating integrated and collaborative processes for visibility, coordination, trust building, etc.	What-if contingency planning/scenario planning, collaborative planning, IBP, monitoring systems	Use built-in flexibility to develop and implement solutions quickly through task force
Reactive -for unknown-known	Inability to foresee when or how a disruption will occur, despite a solid understanding of the likely effects	Building reactive capabilities (event-specific reaction to shocks) allocate capacity to be able to absorb changes build structural flexibility and coordinate collaborative arrangements	If-then contingency planning, predefine measures and structural flexibility	Activate predefined contingency measures to manage known consequences when unexpected events occur
Adaptive -for unknown-unknown	The occurrence and the consequences of disruptive events are unforeseeable and poorly understood	Building adaptive capabilities (adapt and transform with the shocks) develop modular and reconfigurable supply chain structures developing jury-rigging capabilities possibilities of regionalization	Plan and design of modular, reconfigurable supply networks to enable rapid adaptation	Enable rapid, coordinated responses by activating real-time visibility and advanced analytical tools, such as digital twins and AI-based scenario simulators, to assess emerging uncertainties as they unfold

Planned regulation strategy	Planning challenge	Aim of the strategy	Examples of what is to be planned
Planned regulation strategy	Planning challenge	Aim of the strategy	Ex ante	Ex-post
Predictive – for known-known	Accessing and utilizing available data, applying structured processes, appropriate methods and competent people to predict and ensure accurate plans	Building predictive capabilities (better prepare for shocks) through structured processes use of forecasting and optimization tools	Optimize plans within the limits of known uncertainty, MRP II, S&OP/S&OE, inventory management	Monitor and adjust based on deviations between plans and actual demand/supply
Proactive – for known-unknown	Insufficient understanding to define the relationships between uncertainty outcomes in probabilistic terms	Building proactive capabilities (prevent unprecedented shocks) through information channels strengthening preparedness monitoring and continuous learning creating integrated and collaborative processes for visibility, coordination, trust building, etc.	What-if contingency planning/scenario planning, collaborative planning, IBP, monitoring systems	Use built-in flexibility to develop and implement solutions quickly through task force
Reactive -for unknown-known	Inability to foresee when or how a disruption will occur, despite a solid understanding of the likely effects	Building reactive capabilities (event-specific reaction to shocks) allocate capacity to be able to absorb changes build structural flexibility and coordinate collaborative arrangements	If-then contingency planning, predefine measures and structural flexibility	Activate predefined contingency measures to manage known consequences when unexpected events occur
Adaptive -for unknown-unknown	The occurrence and the consequences of disruptive events are unforeseeable and poorly understood	Building adaptive capabilities (adapt and transform with the shocks) develop modular and reconfigurable supply chain structures developing jury-rigging capabilities possibilities of regionalization	Plan and design of modular, reconfigurable supply networks to enable rapid adaptation	Enable rapid, coordinated responses by activating real-time visibility and advanced analytical tools, such as digital twins and AI-based scenario simulators, to assess emerging uncertainties as they unfold