Figure 3
Three line graphs comparing men’s and women’s predicted probabilities with 95 percent confidence intervals.The three line graphs are arranged in a triangular layout, with one graph positioned at the top and two graphs placed side by side below it. Each graph compares the predicted probability of obtaining a tenured position between men and women, with shaded regions representing confidence intervals around each line. Blue lines correspond to “Men”, while red lines correspond to “Women”. In the top graph, the horizontal axis is labeled “Years of experience” and ranges from 0 to 5 in increments of 1 unit. The vertical axis is labeled “Predicted probability of tenured position” and ranges from 0.05 to 0.25 in increments of 0.05 units. The blue line for men starts at (0, 0.10), gradually increases upward, and ends at (5, 0.24). The blue shaded confidence region expands from 0.09 to 0.12 at 0 years to 0.21 to 0.26 at 5 years. The red line for women starts at (0, 0.08), gradually increases upward, and ends at (5, 0.17). The red shaded area for women broadens from 0.06 to 0.09 at 0 years to 0.14 to 0.19 at 5 years. The bottom left graph has the horizontal axis labeled “Scientific papers”, with three categories labeled from left to right as “None”, “Three or less”, and “More than three”. The vertical axis is labeled “Predicted probability of tenured position” and ranges from 0 to 0.25 in increments of 0.05 units. The blue line for men starts at (None, 0.02), rises to (Three or less, 0.09), and ends at (More than three, 0.19). The blue shaded confidence band is widest at “None”, ranging from 0.01 to 0.04, and narrows slightly at “Three or less”, ranging from 0.07 to 0.11. At “More than three”, it ranges from 0.18 to 0.21. The red line for women starts at (None, 0.01), rises steadily to (Three or less, 0.06), and ends at (More than three, 0.14). The red confidence band broadens slightly at “None”, ranging from 0 to 0.02, and narrows slightly at “Three or less”, ranging from 0.05 to 0.08. At “More than three”, it ranges from 0.13 to 0.16. The bottom right graph has the horizontal axis labeled “Monographies”, also with three categories labeled from left to right as “None”, “Three or less”, and “More than three”. The vertical axis is labeled “Predicted probability of tenured position” and ranges from 0.05 to 0.25 in increments of 0.05 units. The blue line for men starts at (None, 0.11), rises to (Three or less, 0.21), and slightly increases again at (More than three, 0.23). The blue shaded confidence band is widest at “None”, ranging from 0.10 to 0.13, and narrows slightly at “Three or less”, ranging from 0.18 to 0.22. At “More than three”, it ranges from 0.18 to 0.27. The red line for women starts at (None, 0.08), rises steadily through (Three or less, 0.15), and ends at (More than three, 0.17). The red confidence band broadens slightly at “None”, ranging from 0.07 to 0.09, and narrows slightly at “Three or less”, ranging from 0.13 to 0.17. At “More than three”, it ranges from 0.13 to 0.21. Note: All numerical data values are approximated.

Expected probabilities of tenured position for men and women with 95% confidence intervals

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