Figure 1
A graph with Supply Chain Operations and Counter-Operations axes divided into four quadrants with strategic points.The horizontal axis is labeled “Supply Chain Operations” and the vertical axis is labeled “Counter-Operations”. The horizontal axis has two markings: “Overt” on the left and “Covert” on the right. The vertical axis has two markings: “Overt” on the bottom and “Covert” on the top. From the midpoint of the horizontal axis, a vertical line is drawn that extends to the top of the vertical axis. From the midpoint of the vertical axis, a horizontal line is drawn that extends to the end of the horizontal axis. The lines intersect at their respective midpoints, dividing the graph area into four quadrants. Each quadrant has a title and a list of points. The details for each quadrant are as follows: The first quadrant at the bottom left (Overt, Overt) is titled “Roman numeral one Interdict”, with the following points listed: “1. U S sanctions on Chinese companies from accessing equipment to produce semi-conductors, 2022”, and “2. U S sanctions of Russian petroleum exports and trade, 2023 (ongoing)”. The second quadrant at the top left (Overt, Covert) is titled “Roman numeral four Interdict”, with the following points listed: “6. Blowing up Russian gas pipelines to Europe, 2022”, “7. Ransom cyber-attack on Colonial Pipeline-US, 2021”, “8. Planting incendiary devices in massage units at DHL centers, 2024”, “9. Blowing up of Iranian centrifuges using a computer virus, 2010-2011”, and “10. Severing internet cables in the Baltic Sea, 2024”. The third quadrant at the top right (Covert, Covert) is titled “Roman numeral three Infiltrate to Interdict”, with the following points listed: “3. U S D E A seizures of fentanyl being brought into the U S, every year”, “4. Exploding pagers and walkie-talkies in Lebanon, 2024”, and “5. ANOM network for ‘secure’ communication, 2018-2021”. The fourth quadrant at the bottom right (Covert, Overt) is titled “Roman numeral two Detect to Interdict”, with the following points listed: “3. U S D E A seizure of fentanyl being brought into the U S”.

A framework for understanding the type of counter-operations for disruption based on the nature of the supply chain operations and the counter-operations. Infiltration and interdiction can also be cyber-operations. Source: Authors’ own creation

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