Figure 2
A figure of covert and overt supply chains with arrows, targets, and interdiction points.The figure shows two oval arrows vertically on the left, labeled “Covert Source” and “Overt Source”. On the right side, a circle is shown with a central label “Collateral Damage”. On the left side of the circle, two smaller circles arranged vertically are shown, labeled from top to bottom as “Target” and “Overt Demand”. On top of the “Covert Source”, a thunderbolt icon is shown, labeled “Interdiction at the source of supplies of covert operations”. Similarly, on top of the “Overt Source”, a thunderbolt icon is shown, labeled “Interdiction at the source of the overt supply chains with legal products”. From the “Covert Source”, a thick black arrow labeled “(A) Covert supply chain” extends upward and points to “Target”. On this arrow, a thunderbolt icon is shown, labeled “Interdiction of transportation or storage links in covert supply chains”. Also, at the point where this arrow reaches the “Target”, another thunderbolt icon is shown, labeled “Interdiction of demand for illicit products from covert operations”. From the “Covert Source”, a grey arrow labeled “(B) Covert operations infiltrating an overt supply chain” extends downward and points to “Target”. On this arrow, a thunderbolt icon is shown, labeled “Detection and interdiction of the covert operations in the overt supply chain”. From the “Overt Source”, a thick grey arrow labeled “(C) Overt supply chain” arises upward and points to “Overt Demand”. On this arrow, a thunderbolt icon is shown, labeled “Interdiction of legal products in processing, transportation, or storage (for example, sanctions on transportation or payments)”. Also, at the point where this arrow reaches “Overt Demand”, another thunderbolt icon is shown, labeled “Interdiction of demand for legal products (for example, tariffs)”.

Covert operations in (a) independent covert supply chains and (b) having infiltrated (c) overt supply chains with legal operations and products; interdiction can occur at different points in overt and covert supply chains. Collateral damage can result from covert operations or the interdiction of such operations. Source: Authors’ own creation

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