Figure 2
A causal loop diagram shows interlinked variables including population, G D P, city attractiveness, and land availability.The diagram shows an aggregated causal loop diagram with multiple interconnected variables and arrows forming feedback loops. Starting from the top center, the label “Land availability” is connected by a downward positive arrow to “Green areas and parking spaces,” which connects with a downward positive arrow to “Attractiveness of city.” A leftward positive arrow from “Attractiveness of city” points to “Immigration,” and a downward arrow from it points to “Population.” From “Population,” a leftward positive arrow points to “Need for new houses,” and an upward positive arrow from it leads to “Households.” An upward negative arrow from “Households” points back to “Land availability.” A leftward downward negative arrow from “Attractiveness of city” points to “Emigration,” which connects with a negative arrow to “Population.” From “Population,” a negative arrow points to “G D P per capita,” which connects back to “Attractiveness of city” with a positive arrow. A downward positive arrow from “Population” leads to “Traffic congestion.” A rightward arrow from it points to “Perceived need for new roads” at the bottom, and a leftward arrow from it points to “Line kilometer roads,” which connects back to “Land availability” with a negative arrow. An upward negative arrow from “Line kilometer roads” points to “Traffic congestion,” and a positive arrow from “Traffic congestion” points to “Public transport usage.” From “Pollution,” one negative and three positive arrows connect respectively to “Available jobs,” “G D P,” “Waste generation,” and “Water consumption.” On the right side, “Available jobs” connects to “Industries and Services (hospitals, leisures, etc.)” with a positive arrow, and “Water consumption” connects to “Water shortage” with a positive arrow. “G D P” connects positively to “Industries and Services (hospitals, leisures, etc.).” From it, positive arrows connect to “Attractiveness of city,” “Available jobs,” “G D P,” “Waste generation,” “Water consumption,” and “Perceived need for new roads.” A negative arrow from it loops back to “Land availability.”

Aggregated causal loop diagram of the SD model used in this study. Source: Authors’ own work

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