Global average surface temperature change (a) and global mean sea level rise (b) from 2006 to 2100 as determined by multi-model simulations. All changes are relative to 1986–2005. Time series of projections and a measure of uncertainty (shading) are shown for scenarios RCP2.6 (blue) and RCP8.5 (red). The mean and associated uncertainties averaged over 2081–2100 are given for all RCP scenarios as colored vertical bars at the right-hand side of each panel. The number of Couple Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) models used to calculate the multi-mean is indicated. Figure and caption are taken directly from the 2014 IPCC Climate Change Synthesis Report: Summary for Policymakers (IPCC, 2014).