Figure 4
The illustration contains six graphs arranged in three rows and two columns. Each graph shows a single black curve plotted on a logarithmic grid. The horizontal axis is labeled “D in meters” and spans from 10 to the negative 2 power to 10 to the 1 power with multiples of 10. The vertical axis is labeled “Probability of Exceedance” and is plotted on a logarithmic scale. The curves decrease from top left to right in all panels. Top-left panel: “Shanghai-Kunming H S R H 1”. The vertical axis ranges from 3 times 10 to the negative 3 power to 10 to the negative 2 power, with intermediate values of 4 times 10 to the negative 3 power and 6 times 10 to the negative 3 power. The curve begins near 1.2 times 10 to the negative 2 power at D equals 10 to the negative 2 power, decreases slightly to near 1.1 times 10 to the negative 2 power until approximately D equals 10 to the 0 power, and then decreases sharply. Around D equals 4.5, the probability is near 8 times 10 to the negative 3 power, and it continues dropping to about 3 times 10 to the negative 3 power near D equals 1.5 times 10 to the 1 power. Top-right panel: “Nanning-Kunming H S R N 1”. The vertical axis ranges from 2 times 10 to the negative 3 power to 4 times 10 to the negative 3 power with an intermediate value of 3 times 10 to the negative 3 power. The curve starts near 4.3 times 10 to the negative 3 power at D equals 10 to the negative 2 power, decreases gradually to around 3.8 times 10 to the negative 3 power near D equals 1, then falls more steeply beyond D equals 2, reaching about 1.2 times 10 to the negative 3 power near D equals 1.5 times 10 to the 1 power. Middle-left panel: “Shanghai-Kunming H S R H 2”. The vertical axis ranges from 4 times 10 to the negative 3 power to 10 to the negative 2 power, with an intermediate value of 6 times 10 to the negative 3 power. The curve begins close to 1.3 times 10 to the negative 2 power at D equals 10 to the negative 2 power, declines slowly to about 10 to the negative 2 power near D equals 3 times 10 to the 0 power, and then drops rapidly after D equals 3 times 10 to the 0 power. At D equals 1.5 times 10 to the 1 power, the value approaches 3.8 times 10 to the negative 3 power. Middle-right panel: “Nanning-Kunming H S R N 2”. The vertical axis spans from 2 times 10 to the negative 3 power to 10 to the negative 2 power with intermediate values of 3 times 10 to the negative 3 power, 4 times 10 to the negative 3 power, and 6 times 10 to the negative 3 power. The curve begins near 1.2 times 10 to the negative 2 power at D equals 10 to the negative 2 power, decreases gradually to around 8 times 10 to the negative 3 power near D equals 10 to the 0 power, then declines steadily and reaches approximately 1.7 times 10 to the negative 3 power near D equals 1.5 times 10 to the 1 power. Bottom-left panel: “Shanghai-Kunming H S R H 3”. The vertical axis ranges from 3 times 10 to the negative 3 power to 10 to the negative 2 power with intermediate values of 4 times 10 to the negative 3 power and 6 times 10 to the negative 3 power. The curve starts near 1.3 times 10 to the negative 2 power at D equals 10 to the negative 2 power, decreases slowly until about D equals 10 to the 0 power, and then begins decreasing rapidly. After D equals 2, the decline becomes steeper, reaching about 2.7 times 10 to the negative 3 power at D equals 1.5 times 10 to the 1 power. Bottom-right panel: “Nanning-Kunming H S R N 3”. The vertical axis has a marking of 10 to the negative 3 power slightly below the center. The curve starts around 5 times 10 to the negative 3 power at D equals 10 to the negative 2 power, decreases gradually to about 3 times 10 to the negative 3 power near D equals 2 times 10 to the 0 power, then drops rapidly after D equals 3 times 10 to the 0 power, approaching 4.5 times 10 to the negative 2 power near D equals 1.5 times 10 to the 1 power. Note: All numerical data values are approximated.Annual probability of exceedance for permanent displacement at fault-crossing sites of the SK and NK HSR. Source(s): Author's own work