Figure A2.
A nine-panel shrink factor plot compares median and 97.5 per cent lines for l y underscore sign 1 to l y underscore sign 9 across 5,000 iterations.The plot has 9 panels titled l y underscore sign 1 through l y underscore sign 9. Each panel has the horizontal axis labelled last iteration in chain and ranges from 0 to 5,000. Each vertical axis is labelled shrink factor and begins near 1.00, with upper ranges varying by panel from about 1.04 to 1.25. The legend identifies the median line and the 97.5 per cent line. In all panels, the 97.5 per cent line starts above the median line, drops sharply near the early iterations, and then stays close to 1.00. l y underscore sign 4, l y underscore sign 8, and l y underscore sign 9 have the highest early 97.5 per cent peaks, reaching about 1.25, 1.15, and 1.20. l y underscore sign 3 and l y underscore sign 6 show small mid-chain fluctuations after the early drop. l y underscore sign 1, l y underscore sign 2, l y underscore sign 5, and l y underscore sign 7 remain mostly near 1.00 after the first 1,000 iterations.

Gelman plots for PSRF convergence

Source: Authors’ own work

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