Figure 1
The flowchart consists of seven rectangular text boxes to the left and two oval shapes to the right. On the left, seven rectangular text boxes are stacked vertically from top to bottom in sequence: the top box reads “1. Identifying factors that relate to the issue of concern”, a downward arrow leads to the second box reading “2. Clustering factors into categories as P E S T E L themes”, a downward arrow leads to the third box reading “3. Determining inter-relationships between factors and clusters.”, a downward arrow leads to the fourth box reading “4. Identifying the two driving forces by ordering the themes and clusters of factors on high impact and high uncertainty.”, a downward arrow leads to the fifth box reading “5. Identifying the range of outcomes by two extremes for each driving force.”, a downward arrow leads to the sixth box reading “6. Combining factors and clusters by the fit into a specific scenario”, and a final downward arrow leads to the seventh box reading “7. Creating storylines for each scenario, ensuring coherence between the factors, clusters and themes associated with the selected driving forces”. To the right of these boxes are two vertically aligned oval shapes, with the upper oval reading “Literature review” and a downward arrow from this oval leading to the lower oval reading “Expert interviews”. From the “Expert interviews” oval, five separate arrows extend leftwards, each arrow starting at the oval and pointing respectively to the first, second, third, fourth, and fifth rectangular boxes on the left.Process of scenario planning